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Matthew Kessel

Matthew Kessel

NYI·DJersey number #51
Played for STL in the game shown
STL@MIN
Latest captured market
Mar 1 · 5:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 99 game sample
PTS
10.1
SOG
56.4
G
3.6
A
6.5
PPP
0.1
HIT
66.5
BLK
82.3
PIM
27.8

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 99 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 99 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 99 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.12
G
0.04
A
0.07
SOG
0.67
PPP
0.00
HIT
0.80
BLK
1.01
PIM
0.34

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26292130.102012:32
2024-25290330.101713:08
2023-24391670.182816:47
2022-2320000.00315:10

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 1 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 14vs PIT100024012:54
Mar 26vs SJS300022013:07
Mar 8@ ANA200021218:21
Mar 6@ SJS000002214:21
Mar 4@ SEA000032013:10
Mar 1@ MIN100010014:31
Feb 28vs NJD200030213:39
Feb 4@ DAL00000107:49
Jan 13vs CAR000023016:02
Jan 2vs VGK000001013:37

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-261.02plus 1.0 goals above expected1932
2024-250.70minus 0.7 goals above expected1830
2023-241.51minus 0.5 goals above expected2845
2022-230.10minus 0.1 goals above expected23

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-262 goals, 1 assist, 3 points0-0-00-0-0
2024-250 goals, 3 assists, 3 points0-0-00-0-0
2023-241 goal, 6 assists, 7 points0-0-00-0-0
2022-230 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

32 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (12)Shot on goal (18)Goal (2)

Markets · Mar 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.