Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 91 game sample- PTS
- 18.5
- SOG
- 79.5
- G
- 6.4
- A
- 12.2
- PPP
- 2.2
- HIT
- 295.2
- BLK
- 38.0
- PIM
- 67.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 91 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 91 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 91 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.22
- G
- 0.08
- A
- 0.15
- SOG
- 0.96
- PPP
- 0.03
- HIT
- 3.63
- BLK
- 0.46
- PIM
- 0.82
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 61 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 0.21 | 58 | 11:29 |
| 2024-25 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0.28 | 27 | 12:08 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 4 | 8:26 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 | @ ANAPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:21 |
| Apr 28 | vs ANAPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9:11 |
| Apr 24 | @ ANAPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:14 |
| Apr 22 | vs ANAPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 |
| Apr 20 | vs ANAPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8:40 |
| Apr 16 | vs VAN | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:42 |
| Apr 13 | vs COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 |
| Apr 11 | @ LAK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 |
| Apr 8 | @ SJS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 |
| Apr 7 | @ UTA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Feb 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7.4 | 5 | minus 2.4 goals above expected | 48 | 109 |
| 2024-25 | 4.0 | 2 | minus 2.0 goals above expected | 21 | 39 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 goals, 7 assists, 11 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
109 attempts · 5 goals · 2025-26Markets · Feb 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.