Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 167 game sample- PTS
- 25.6
- SOG
- 137.6
- G
- 8.5
- A
- 17.1
- PPP
- 4.3
- HIT
- 39.2
- BLK
- 93.7
- PIM
- 31.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 167 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 167 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 167 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.31
- G
- 0.10
- A
- 0.21
- SOG
- 1.68
- PPP
- 0.05
- HIT
- 0.47
- BLK
- 1.15
- PIM
- 0.39
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 76 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 0.29 | 119 | 16:59 |
| 2024-25 | 62 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 0.32 | 130 | 18:58 |
| 2023-24 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 0.35 | 34 | 19:17 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.67 | 3 | 13:58 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:28 |
| May 12 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 |
| May 10 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11:52 |
| Apr 7 | vs NSH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:58 |
| Apr 4 | vs CGY | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10:52 |
| Apr 3 | vs STL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:21 |
| Apr 1 | @ SJS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:44 |
| Mar 30 | vs TOR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:18 |
| Mar 28 | @ EDM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:04 |
| Mar 26 | @ CGY | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8.8 | 7 | minus 1.8 goals above expected | 70 | 191 |
| 2024-25 | 7.8 | 7 | minus 0.8 goals above expected | 59 | 199 |
| 2023-24 | 1.9 | 2 | plus 0.1 goals above expected | 21 | 56 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 13 assists, 19 points | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 6 goals, 9 assists, 15 points | 1 goal, 4 assists, 5 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
191 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 1
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.