ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026
all players
Zack Ostapchuk

Zack Ostapchuk

SJS·FJersey number #63
vsTOR
Latest captured market
Apr 2 · 10:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 122 game sample
PTS
8.6
SOG
54.7
G
4.3
A
4.4
PPP
0.1
HIT
182.3
BLK
38.2
PIM
62.1

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 122 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 122 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 122 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.10
G
0.05
A
0.05
SOG
0.66
PPP
0.00
HIT
2.23
BLK
0.46
PIM
0.76

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26594370.124410:05
2024-25561340.07269:25
2023-2470000.00510:30

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 16@ WPG200010014:40
Apr 15@ CHI100020010:53
Apr 13@ NSH100020012:01
Apr 11vs VAN000040010:51
Apr 9@ ANA00002008:21
Apr 8vs EDM000021011:24
Apr 6vs CHI10003008:09
Apr 4vs NSH000032410:09
Apr 2vs TOR111042011:15
Apr 1vs ANA00002059:37

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-264.94minus 0.9 goals above expected3659
2024-253.31minus 2.3 goals above expected3044
2023-240.40minus 0.4 goals above expected46

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-264 goals, 3 assists, 7 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2024-251 goal, 3 assists, 4 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-240 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

59 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (15)Shot on goal (40)Goal (4)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
12%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
5%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.