Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 216 game sample- PTS
- 23.5
- SOG
- 92.5
- G
- 7.0
- A
- 16.5
- PPP
- 3.2
- HIT
- 66.4
- BLK
- 117.2
- PIM
- 22.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 216 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 216 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 216 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.29
- G
- 0.09
- A
- 0.20
- SOG
- 1.12
- PPP
- 0.04
- HIT
- 0.81
- BLK
- 1.43
- PIM
- 0.27
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 73 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 0.30 | 79 | 18:26 |
| 2024-25 | 68 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 0.28 | 69 | 17:36 |
| 2023-24 | 63 | 4 | 24 | 28 | 0.44 | 88 | 18:50 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 16 | 19:26 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13:39 |
| May 12 | @ VGKPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 |
| May 10 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:48 |
| May 8 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20:20 |
| May 6 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19:55 |
| May 4 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:49 |
| Apr 30 | vs EDMPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 21:52 |
| Apr 28 | @ EDMPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:23 |
| Apr 26 | vs EDMPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22:29 |
| Apr 24 | vs EDMPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:36 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6.7 | 8 | plus 1.3 goals above expected | 58 | 135 |
| 2024-25 | 4.8 | 5 | plus 0.2 goals above expected | 56 | 113 |
| 2023-24 | 5.1 | 4 | minus 1.1 goals above expected | 52 | 111 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8 goals, 11 assists, 19 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 5 goals, 11 assists, 16 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 4 goals, 16 assists, 20 points | 0 goals, 7 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
Shot locations
135 attempts · 8 goals · 2025-26Markets · Mar 1
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.