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Noah Ostlund

Noah Ostlund

BUF·FJersey number #86
vsSJS
Latest captured market
Mar 10 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 71 game sample
PTS
35.5
SOG
81.5
G
14.7
A
20.8
PPP
7.4
HIT
8.1
BLK
40.2
PIM
21.1

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 71 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 71 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 71 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.43
G
0.18
A
0.25
SOG
0.99
PPP
0.09
HIT
0.08
BLK
0.49
PIM
0.25

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26601116270.456013:58
2024-2580000.00410:32

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2631120.67411:31

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 10 lineSOG 4/10G 2/10PPP 1/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 28vs BOSPO20000022:55
Apr 26@ BOSPO000000017:19
Apr 23@ BOSPO211001014:18
Mar 25vs BOS100000014:31
Mar 22@ ANA001000014:42
Mar 21@ LAK200001013:01
Mar 19@ SJS210001016:06
Mar 17@ VGK000000215:46
Mar 14vs TOR001101215:46
Mar 12vs WSH000001016:49

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 10 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-267.011plus 4.0 goals above expected4992
2024-250.50minus 0.5 goals above expected58

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-269 goals, 12 assists, 21 points2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points0-0-0
2024-250 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

92 attempts · 11 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (32)Shot on goal (49)Goal (11)

Markets · Mar 10

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
11%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
9%
SOG
Shots on goal
Line
1.5
Proj
1.3
P(over)
36%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.