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Matthew Poitras

Matthew Poitras

BOS·FJersey number #51
Latest captured market
Feb 1 · 6:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 69 game sample
PTS
30.5
SOG
97.2
G
8.3
A
22.2
PPP
1.0
HIT
32.7
BLK
33.0
PIM
28.5

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 69 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 69 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 69 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.37
G
0.10
A
0.27
SOG
1.17
PPP
0.01
HIT
0.37
BLK
0.39
PIM
0.34

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2631010.33812:07
2024-2533110110.332913:05
2023-2433510150.454013:24

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Feb 1 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Feb 4@ FLA100000213:05
Feb 1@ TBL210001011:48
Jan 29vs PHI500001211:28
Mar 6@ CAR200000212:47
Mar 4vs NSH000010015:42
Mar 2@ MIN000000014:30
Mar 1@ PIT100000012:11
Feb 27vs NYI00000107:08
Feb 25vs TOR100000013:54
Feb 22vs ANA200000015:28

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Feb 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-260.51plus 0.5 goals above expected38
2024-253.91minus 2.9 goals above expected2254
2023-244.05plus 1.0 goals above expected2649

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-261 goal, 0 assists, 1 point0-0-00-0-0
2024-251 goal, 10 assists, 11 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0
2023-245 goals, 9 assists, 14 points0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point0-0-0

Shot locations

8 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (0)Shot on goal (7)Goal (1)

Markets · Feb 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
9%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.