Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 82 game sample- PTS
- 30.1
- SOG
- 89.5
- G
- 13.0
- A
- 17.1
- PPP
- 4.0
- HIT
- 73.3
- BLK
- 44.3
- PIM
- 36.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 82 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 82 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 82 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.37
- G
- 0.16
- A
- 0.21
- SOG
- 1.09
- PPP
- 0.05
- HIT
- 0.89
- BLK
- 0.54
- PIM
- 0.44
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 73 | 12 | 15 | 27 | 0.37 | 80 | 13:18 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.33 | 9 | 12:07 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13 | @ COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:08 |
| May 11 | vs COLPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13:06 |
| May 9 | vs COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 |
| May 5 | @ COLPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 |
| May 3 | @ COLPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:10 |
| Apr 25 | vs DALPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 |
| Apr 22 | vs DALPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:02 |
| Apr 20 | @ DALPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:42 |
| Apr 18 | @ DALPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:22 |
| Apr 14 | vs ANA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16:54 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12.6 | 12 | minus 0.6 goals above expected | 57 | 130 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11 goals, 13 assists, 24 points | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
130 attempts · 12 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.