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Pavol Regenda

Pavol Regenda

SJS·FJersey number #84
Club as of this player’s most recent priced game
vsWPG
Latest captured market
Mar 1 · 4:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 43 game sample
PTS
31.7
SOG
139.0
G
27.2
A
4.5
PPP
12.0
HIT
187.4
BLK
28.4
PIM
62.9

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 43 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 43 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 43 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.38
G
0.34
A
0.05
SOG
1.70
PPP
0.15
HIT
2.32
BLK
0.33
PIM
0.78

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-262491100.424213:21
2023-2450000.00711:34
2022-23141230.211710:32

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 1 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 16@ WPG000030109:00
Apr 9@ ANA000040011:32
Mar 24@ NSH200030013:44
Mar 19vs BUF000030014:16
Mar 17@ EDM410061014:26
Mar 15@ OTT100031014:22
Mar 1vs WPG00000007:46
Feb 28vs EDM100011010:48
Feb 2@ CHI100050211:23
Jan 29@ EDM100020013:52

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-266.79plus 2.3 goals above expected2159
2023-240.40minus 0.4 goals above expected48
2022-232.91minus 1.9 goals above expected1126

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-265 goals, 1 assist, 6 points4 goals, 0 assists, 4 points0-0-0
2023-240 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0
2022-231 goal, 2 assists, 3 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0

Shot locations

59 attempts · 9 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (17)Shot on goal (33)Goal (9)

Markets · Mar 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.2
P(over)
16%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
8%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.