Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 197 game sample- PTS
- 31.6
- SOG
- 150.5
- G
- 7.3
- A
- 24.3
- PPP
- 1.2
- HIT
- 52.5
- BLK
- 102.2
- PIM
- 19.9
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 197 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 197 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 197 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.38
- G
- 0.09
- A
- 0.30
- SOG
- 1.84
- PPP
- 0.01
- HIT
- 0.64
- BLK
- 1.25
- PIM
- 0.24
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 8 | 32 | 40 | 0.49 | 164 | 17:37 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 0.20 | 115 | 15:57 |
| 2023-24 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0.43 | 31 | 14:13 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.27 | 22 | 18:56 |
| 2024-25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 9 | 14:00 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:16 |
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 |
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:40 |
| May 20 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:31 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:56 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20:57 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:15 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:27 |
| Apr 23 | @ LAKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:51 |
| Apr 21 | vs LAKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 20:41 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6.7 | 8 | plus 1.3 goals above expected | 77 | 252 |
| 2024-25 | 4.3 | 5 | plus 0.7 goals above expected | 72 | 161 |
| 2023-24 | 1.3 | 3 | plus 1.7 goals above expected | 21 | 49 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8 goals, 31 assists, 39 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 5 goals, 9 assists, 14 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 2 goals, 6 assists, 8 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
252 attempts · 8 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.