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Cole McWard

Toronto Maple Leafs

Cole McWard

TORDefenceJersey number #4

2025-26 regular season

Games played
3
Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0

How good

Among 509 defencemen, 2021-22 to 2026-27

Pool: every defenceman who played in those seasons · Sample: 9 games · under 41 games

No production figure in the top quarter of his pool.

Production

Production: percentile among 509 defencemen, and the adjusted per-game rate it was computed from
StatPctlAdjusted per game
Points170.18
Goals550.08
Assists80.10
Shots on goal210.88
Power-play points530.03

Style and role

Style and role: percentile among 509 defencemen, and the adjusted per-game rate it was computed from
StatPctlAdjusted per game
Hits601.21
Blocked shots631.26
Penalty minutes40.17

Further right means more, not better: hits, blocked shots and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

What adjusted per game means — not his recorded rate
Adjusted per game is the rate each percentile was computed from: his recorded rate, weighted toward recent games and pulled toward the league average by sample size, so a short career does not read as an elite one. It sits closer to average than the rate recorded, so a skater with no points in his games can still show points per game above zero.

How he got here

Each regular season

  • 2022-23: 0 over 5 games
  • 2023-24: 0 over 1 games
  • 2025-26: 0 over 3 games
Assists, regular season. Filled dots are finished seasons. GP: games played.

Shooting

Where he shoots, and how he finishes

Shot density · 2025-26 · open play, regular season

FewerMore attempts, up to this skater’s busiest cell

Open play · regular season · goals

Goals against a league-average finisher, by season

In 2025-26 he scored 0, level with the 0.0 a league-average finisher would score from his chances.

  1. 2025-26 · on the rink0 G · 0.0 avg · 0.0 · 1 GP

  2. 2023-240 G · 0.0 avg · 0.0 · 1 GP

  3. 2022-231 G · 0.3 avg · +0.7 · 3 GP

  • Goals
  • A league-average finisher
What the ring counts — what a league-average finisher would score from the same attempts

The shot model prices the chance of a goal on every unblocked attempt he took in open play during the regular season; shootouts and penalty shots are left out. Those chances are scaled so that, across the league, they add up to the goals actually scored that season, so the ring is what a league-average finisher would have scored from his attempts and each season is measured against its own average. The gap is his goals minus that; the table below lists the exact figures.

Finishing against the league average · open play, regular season

Finishing by season: goals against a league-average finisher on the same attempts
SeasonG
2025-260.000.011
2023-240.000.011
2022-230.31+0.7310

G vs avg: goals minus what a league-average finisher would score from the same attempts (Exp G, the model’s expected goals scaled to that season’s league-wide scoring).

Detail

The record

Regular season

Regular season, by season
SeasonGAP
2025-2630000.00113:44
2023-2410000.0019:05
2022-2351010.20614:13

2025-26 regular season by strength · G-A-P

Even strength
0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
Power play
0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
Shorthanded
0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Penalty-shot goals are not counted here: each one leaves these a goal and a point below his regular-season totals.

Last 9 games

Last 9 games, newest first
DateOppGAHITBLKPIM
Jan 8@ NSH100003011:10
Jan 6vs NJD000031015:12
Jan 3vs TOR000011014:50
Nov 28vs ANA10000009:05
Apr 13@ ARI000002014:32
Apr 11@ ANA300011013:28
Apr 10@ LAK200040017:04
Apr 8vs CGY110002011:25
Apr 6vs CHI000001014:35
Markets · latest captured, not current

Jan 8 at Nashville Predators · 8:00 PM ET

The prices posted for a game already played. Open to see them.

He played for NYI in this game.

The model has not beaten the Pinnacle closing line: shots-on-goal ROI −0.0709 [−0.0932, −0.0467] per unit over 7,171 bets in a 2025-26 backtest of 512 games. How this was measured

Pre-game snapshotCaptured Oct 1, 8:21 PM ET

This game’s markets: the posted line, the model’s projection and its chance of the over
MarketLineModel projectionModel chance of over
Anytime goal0.50.03%