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Mattias Janmark

Edmonton Oilers

Mattias Janmark

EDMForwardJersey number #13

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2025-26 regular season

Games played
43
Goals
1
Assists
7
Points
8

How good

Among 980 forwards, 2021-22 to 2026-27

Pool: every forward who played in those seasons · Sample: 379 games

No production figure in the top quarter of his pool.

Production

Production: percentile among 980 forwards, and the adjusted per-game rate it was computed from
StatPctlAdjusted per game
Points190.22
Goals80.06
Assists360.17
Shots on goal40.74
Power-play points10.00

Style and role

Style and role: percentile among 980 forwards, and the adjusted per-game rate it was computed from
StatPctlAdjusted per game
Hits130.56
Blocked shots180.37
Penalty minutes640.46

Further right means more, not better: hits, blocked shots and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

What adjusted per game means — not his recorded rate
Adjusted per game is the rate each percentile was computed from: his recorded rate, weighted toward recent games and pulled toward the league average by sample size, so a short career does not read as an elite one. It sits closer to average than the rate recorded, so a skater with no points in his games can still show points per game above zero.

How he got here

Each regular season

  • 2021-22: 89 over 67 games
  • 2022-23: 79 over 66 games
  • 2023-24: 67 over 71 games
  • 2024-25: 51 over 80 games
  • 2025-26: 24 over 43 games
  • 2026-27 projected: 62.0, a full-season pace
Shots on goal, regular season. Filled dots are finished seasons; the dotted ring is the 2026-27 full-season pace from the projections board, the projected rate across the club's whole schedule, not a forecast of the total. GP: games played.

What next

2026-27, projected

Full-season pace · his rate times the schedule

If he plays all 84 Edmonton Oilers games at his modelled per-game rate

Points
18.8
Goals
4.8
Assists
13.9
Shots on goal
62.0
Power-play points
0.1
Hits
47.1
Blocked shots
31.4
Penalty minutes
38.4

Based on 379 games he has played, weighted toward recent ones. It assumes he plays all 84: injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How the pace is worked out — the figure the projections board ranks on

Each figure is his per-game rate, weighted toward recent games, times the 84 games on the Edmonton Oilers schedule. It is the pace the projections board ranks the league on, so the figure a reader clicked there is the one at the top of this card.

Shooting

Where he shoots, and how he finishes

Shot density · 2025-26 · open play, regular season

FewerMore attempts, up to this skater’s busiest cell

4 more attempts came from outside the offensive zone and are not in the grid.

Open play · regular season · goals

Goals against a league-average finisher, by season

In 2025-26 he scored 1 where a league-average finisher would score 3.5 from his chances: 2.5 fewer.

  1. 2025-26 · on the rink1 G · 3.5 avg · −2.5 · 21 GP

  2. 2024-252 G · 7.2 avg · −5.2 · 48 GP

  3. 2023-244 G · 8.8 avg · −4.8 · 50 GP

  4. 2022-2310 G · 9.5 avg · +0.5 · 51 GP

  5. 2021-229 G · 11.9 avg · −2.9 · 54 GP

  • Goals
  • A league-average finisher
What the ring counts — what a league-average finisher would score from the same attempts

The shot model prices the chance of a goal on every unblocked attempt he took in open play during the regular season; shootouts and penalty shots are left out. Those chances are scaled so that, across the league, they add up to the goals actually scored that season, so the ring is what a league-average finisher would have scored from his attempts and each season is measured against its own average. The gap is his goals minus that; the table below lists the exact figures.

Finishing against the league average · open play, regular season

Finishing by season: goals against a league-average finisher on the same attempts
SeasonG
2025-263.51−2.52139
2024-257.22−5.24884
2023-248.84−4.85090
2022-239.510+0.551102
2021-2211.99−2.954121

G vs avg: goals minus what a league-average finisher would score from the same attempts (Exp G, the model’s expected goals scaled to that season’s league-wide scoring).

Detail

The record

Playoffs

Playoffs, by season
SeasonGAP
2024-25223140.181512:17
2023-24254480.322211:56
2022-2350110.2038:26

2025-26 regular season by strength · G-A-P

Even strength
1 goal, 6 assists, 7 points
Power play
0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
Shorthanded
0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point

Penalty-shot goals are not counted here: each one leaves these a goal and a point below his regular-season totals.

Last 10 games

Last 10 games, newest first
DateOppGAHITBLKPIM
Feb 25@ ANA00000002:30
Feb 4@ CGY00000025:32
Feb 3vs TOR000000210:30
Jan 31vs MIN000001010:48
Jan 29vs SJS00000009:42
Jan 26vs ANA000000013:45
Jan 24vs WSH000000011:25
Jan 22vs PIT001001011:40
Jan 20vs NJD000000012:42
Jan 18vs STL100000016:46
Markets · latest captured, not current

Feb 25 at Anaheim Ducks · 10:30 PM ET

The prices posted for a game already played. Open to see them.

The model has not beaten the Pinnacle closing line: shots-on-goal ROI −0.0709 [−0.0932, −0.0467] per unit over 7,171 bets in a 2025-26 backtest of 512 games. How this was measured

Pre-game snapshotCaptured Oct 1, 8:21 PM ET

This game’s markets: the posted line, the model’s projection and its chance of the over
MarketLineModel projectionModel chance of over
Anytime goal0.50.15%