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Thu, Jan 7 · 7:00 PM ET

Toronto Maple Leafs at Philadelphia Flyers

Before the game

Away · TOR

2025-26 record
32–36–14
rank
31of 32

Home · PHI

2025-26 record
43–27–12
rank
5of 32

Expected goals per game, 2025-26

Per gameTORPHI
for3.023.12
against3.642.92

The model’s expected goals on each club’s open-play attempts, per game over 82 and 82 games. Last season’s, as the records are.

Pre-game win chance

TOR 36%PHI 64%

The model’s projection, not a betting recommendation. Its accuracy is modest (held-out AUC 0.590, on a scale where 0.5 is a coin flip and 1.0 is perfect).

Live score and game stats appear here once the game starts, updated every couple of minutes. The box score of record follows the next morning.