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Justin Kirkland

Justin Kirkland

MIN·FJersey number #23
Played for CGY in the game shown
CGY@NSH
Latest captured market
Nov 1 · 3:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 50 game sample
PTS
16.1
SOG
44.8
G
5.4
A
10.7
PPP
0.3
HIT
137.1
BLK
48.5
PIM
19.9

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 50 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 50 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 50 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.19
G
0.06
A
0.13
SOG
0.51
PPP
0.00
HIT
1.69
BLK
0.58
PIM
0.24

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26201120.10119:49
2024-25212680.3899:42
2023-2420000.0017:14
2022-2370000.0057:13

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Nov 1 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Jan 29@ MIN100000010:35
Jan 25vs ANA100021212:02
Jan 21vs PIT00002009:51
Jan 19vs NJD100030011:58
Jan 17vs NYI110002010:45
Jan 15@ CHI00001109:03
Jan 13@ CBJ00000009:57
Jan 10@ PIT10000008:00
Jan 8@ BOS100041010:28
Jan 5vs SEA00002008:47

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Nov 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-261.61minus 0.6 goals above expected1420
2024-251.22plus 0.8 goals above expected1218
2023-240.10minus 0.1 goals above expected11
2022-230.30minus 0.3 goals above expected58

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-261 goal, 1 assist, 2 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2024-252 goals, 6 assists, 8 points0-0-00-0-0
2023-240 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0
2022-230 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

20 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (9)Shot on goal (10)Goal (1)

Markets · Nov 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
9%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.