Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 426 game sample- PTS
- 32.8
- SOG
- 163.0
- G
- 14.4
- A
- 18.4
- PPP
- 3.2
- HIT
- 188.0
- BLK
- 37.6
- PIM
- 33.3
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 426 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 426 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 426 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.40
- G
- 0.18
- A
- 0.22
- SOG
- 1.99
- PPP
- 0.04
- HIT
- 2.30
- BLK
- 0.46
- PIM
- 0.41
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 73 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 0.33 | 153 | 12:31 |
| 2024-25 | 61 | 16 | 13 | 29 | 0.48 | 125 | 14:25 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 17 | 23 | 40 | 0.50 | 146 | 13:43 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 16 | 16 | 32 | 0.40 | 153 | 12:21 |
| 2021-22 | 79 | 22 | 17 | 39 | 0.49 | 159 | 12:47 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0.45 | 20 | 9:40 |
| 2024-25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 7:04 |
| 2023-24 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.36 | 14 | 13:01 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.67 | 8 | 13:28 |
| 2021-22 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0.39 | 39 | 13:08 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:50 |
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8:29 |
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:18 |
| May 20 | vs VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9:55 |
| May 13 | vs MINPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:05 |
| May 11 | @ MINPO | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:39 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:08 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:29 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:23 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12:45 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 18.7 | 9 | minus 9.7 goals above expected | 67 | 240 |
| 2024-25 | 19.0 | 16 | minus 3.0 goals above expected | 60 | 199 |
| 2023-24 | 20.9 | 17 | minus 3.9 goals above expected | 75 | 241 |
| 2022-23 | 18.3 | 16 | minus 2.3 goals above expected | 77 | 216 |
| 2021-22 | 20.0 | 22 | plus 2.0 goals above expected | 69 | 215 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9 goals, 15 assists, 24 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 12 goals, 11 assists, 23 points | 4 goals, 2 assists, 6 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 14 goals, 21 assists, 35 points | 3 goals, 2 assists, 5 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 12 goals, 11 assists, 23 points | 4 goals, 5 assists, 9 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 21 goals, 13 assists, 34 points | 1 goal, 4 assists, 5 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
240 attempts · 9 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.