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Nick Abruzzese

Tampa Bay Lightning

Nick Abruzzese

TBLCentreJersey number #80

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2022-23 regular season

Games played
2
Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2

How good

Among 980 forwards, 2021-22 to 2026-27

Pool: every forward who played in those seasons · Sample: 11 games · under 41 games

Top quarter of his pool in power-play points and assists.

Production

Production: percentile among 980 forwards, and the adjusted per-game rate it was computed from
StatPctlAdjusted per game
Points690.44
Goals490.14
Assists770.29
Shots on goal541.40
Power-play points790.11

Style and role

Style and role: percentile among 980 forwards, and the adjusted per-game rate it was computed from
StatPctlAdjusted per game
Hits431.08
Blocked shots720.65
Penalty minutes520.39

Further right means more, not better: hits, blocked shots and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

What adjusted per game means — not his recorded rate
Adjusted per game is the rate each percentile was computed from: his recorded rate, weighted toward recent games and pulled toward the league average by sample size, so a short career does not read as an elite one. It sits closer to average than the rate recorded, so a skater with no points in his games can still show points per game above zero.

How he got here

Each regular season

  • 2021-22: 0.22 over 9 games
  • 2022-23: 0.00 over 2 games
  • 2026-27 projected: 0.39
Penalty minutes per game played, regular season. Filled dots are finished seasons; the dotted ring is the 2026-27 projection, the per-game rate the projections board uses. GP: games played.

What next

2026-27, projected

Full-season pace · his rate times the schedule

If he plays all 84 Tampa Bay Lightning games at his modelled per-game rate

Points
36.7
Goals
12.1
Assists
24.6
Shots on goal
117.2
Power-play points
9.6
Hits
90.3
Blocked shots
54.7
Penalty minutes
32.8

Based on 11 games he has played, weighted toward recent ones. It assumes he plays all 84: injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How the pace is worked out — the figure the projections board ranks on

Each figure is his per-game rate, weighted toward recent games, times the 84 games on the Tampa Bay Lightning schedule. It is the pace the projections board ranks the league on, so the figure a reader clicked there is the one at the top of this card.

Shooting

Where he shoots, and how he finishes

Shot density · 2022-23 · open play, regular season

FewerMore attempts, up to this skater’s busiest cell

Open play · regular season · goals

Goals against a league-average finisher, by season

In 2022-23 he scored 0 where a league-average finisher would score 0.1 from his chances: 0.1 fewer.

  1. 2022-23 · on the rink0 G · 0.1 avg · −0.1 · 1 GP

  2. 2021-221 G · 0.9 avg · +0.1 · 6 GP

  • Goals
  • A league-average finisher
What the ring counts — what a league-average finisher would score from the same attempts

The shot model prices the chance of a goal on every unblocked attempt he took in open play during the regular season; shootouts and penalty shots are left out. Those chances are scaled so that, across the league, they add up to the goals actually scored that season, so the ring is what a league-average finisher would have scored from his attempts and each season is measured against its own average. The gap is his goals minus that; the table below lists the exact figures.

Finishing against the league average · open play, regular season

Finishing by season: goals against a league-average finisher on the same attempts
SeasonG
2022-230.10−0.112
2021-220.91+0.1611

G vs avg: goals minus what a league-average finisher would score from the same attempts (Exp G, the model’s expected goals scaled to that season’s league-wide scoring).

Detail

The record

Regular season

Regular season, by season
SeasonGAP
2022-2320221.0028:59
2021-2291010.11810:13

2022-23 regular season by strength · G-A-P

Even strength
0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
Power play
0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
Shorthanded
0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Penalty-shot goals are not counted here: each one leaves these a goal and a point below his regular-season totals.

Last 10 games

Last 10 games, newest first
DateOppGAHITBLKPIM
Apr 4vs CBJ20100008:51
Apr 2vs DET00111009:06
Apr 29vs BOS210020014:30
Apr 26vs DET20000008:53
Apr 24@ WSH000011011:31
Apr 19vs PHI100020212:45
Apr 17vs NYI00000007:46
Apr 12vs BUF10000009:00
Apr 7@ DAL00000106:14
Apr 4@ TBL200021012:12

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