Sat, Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET
Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders
Before the game
Away · TBL
- 2025-26 record
- 50–26–6
- rank
- 6of 32
Home · NYI
- 2025-26 record
- 43–34–5
- rank
- 25of 32
Expected goals per game, 2025-26
| Per game | TBL | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| for | 3.59 | 3.18 |
| against | 3.03 | 3.52 |
The model’s expected goals on each club’s open-play attempts, per game over 82 and 82 games. Last season’s, as the records are.
Pre-game win chance
TBL 51%NYI 49%
Set Oct 2, 8:51 AM ET, before puck drop.
The model’s projection, not a betting recommendation. Its accuracy is modest (held-out AUC 0.590, on a scale where 0.5 is a coin flip and 1.0 is perfect).
Live score and game stats appear here once the game starts, updated every couple of minutes. The box score of record follows the next morning.