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Nils Hoglander

Nashville Predators

Nils Hoglander

NSHForwardJersey number #21

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2026-27 regular season

Games played
1
Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0

As of Oct 2, 6:09 AM ET · updated each morning

How good

Among 980 forwards, 2021-22 to 2026-27

Pool: every forward who played in those seasons · Sample: 287 games

No production figure in the top quarter of his pool.

Production

Production: percentile among 980 forwards, and the adjusted per-game rate it was computed from
StatPctlAdjusted per game
Points340.28
Goals410.13
Assists310.15
Shots on goal321.15
Power-play points150.01

Style and role

Style and role: percentile among 980 forwards, and the adjusted per-game rate it was computed from
StatPctlAdjusted per game
Hits501.17
Blocked shots30.26
Penalty minutes470.37

Further right means more, not better: hits, blocked shots and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

What adjusted per game means — not his recorded rate
Adjusted per game is the rate each percentile was computed from: his recorded rate, weighted toward recent games and pulled toward the league average by sample size, so a short career does not read as an elite one. It sits closer to average than the rate recorded, so a skater with no points in his games can still show points per game above zero.

How he got here

Each regular season

  • 2021-22: 0.17 over 60 games
  • 2022-23: 0.12 over 25 games
  • 2023-24: 0.30 over 80 games
  • 2024-25: 0.11 over 72 games
  • 2025-26: 0.05 over 38 games
  • 2026-27 to date: 0.00 over 1 games
  • 2026-27 projected: 0.13
Goals per game played, regular season. Filled dots are finished seasons; the smaller dot is the season to date; the dotted ring is the 2026-27 projection, the per-game rate the projections board uses. GP: games played.

What next

2026-27, projected

Full-season pace · his rate times the schedule

If he plays all 84 Nashville Predators games at his modelled per-game rate

Points
23.6
Goals
10.6
Assists
12.9
Shots on goal
96.4
Power-play points
0.7
Hits
98.5
Blocked shots
22.0
Penalty minutes
30.8

Based on 287 games he has played, weighted toward recent ones. It assumes he plays all 84: injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How the pace is worked out — the figure the projections board ranks on

Each figure is his per-game rate, weighted toward recent games, times the 84 games on the Nashville Predators schedule. It is the pace the projections board ranks the league on, so the figure a reader clicked there is the one at the top of this card.

Shooting

Where he shoots, and how he finishes

Shot density · 2025-26 · open play, regular season

FewerMore attempts, up to this skater’s busiest cell

Open play · regular season · goals

Goals against a league-average finisher, by season

In 2025-26 he scored 2 where a league-average finisher would score 3.8 from his chances: 1.8 fewer.

  1. 2025-26 · on the rink2 G · 3.8 avg · −1.8 · 35 GP

  2. 2024-258 G · 11.2 avg · −3.2 · 59 GP

  3. 2023-2424 G · 15.8 avg · +8.2 · 71 GP

  4. 2022-233 G · 3.2 avg · −0.2 · 22 GP

  5. 2021-2210 G · 14.8 avg · −4.8 · 57 GP

  • Goals
  • A league-average finisher
What the ring counts — what a league-average finisher would score from the same attempts

The shot model prices the chance of a goal on every unblocked attempt he took in open play during the regular season; shootouts and penalty shots are left out. Those chances are scaled so that, across the league, they add up to the goals actually scored that season, so the ring is what a league-average finisher would have scored from his attempts and each season is measured against its own average. The gap is his goals minus that; the table below lists the exact figures.

Finishing against the league average · open play, regular season

Finishing by season: goals against a league-average finisher on the same attempts
SeasonG
2025-263.82−1.83563
2024-2511.28−3.259117
2023-2415.824+8.271174
2022-233.23−0.22240
2021-2214.810−4.857164

G vs avg: goals minus what a league-average finisher would score from the same attempts (Exp G, the model’s expected goals scaled to that season’s league-wide scoring).

Detail

The record

Regular season

Regular season, by season
SeasonGAP
2026-2710000.00010:32
2025-26382350.133511:31
2024-2572817250.358312:08
2023-24802412360.4512012:07
2022-23253690.362912:04
2021-2260108180.3013213:05

2025-26 regular season by strength · G-A-P

Even strength
2 goals, 3 assists, 5 points
Power play
0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
Shorthanded
0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Penalty-shot goals are not counted here: each one leaves these a goal and a point below his regular-season totals.

Last 10 games

Last 10 games, newest first
DateOppGAHITBLKPIM
Oct 1vs MIN000000010:32
Apr 16@ EDM000020013:36
Apr 14vs LAK201000014:03
Apr 12@ ANA200010015:55
Apr 11@ SJS100030012:20
Apr 9@ LAK100010012:18
Apr 7vs VGK000031012:16
Apr 1@ COL10001006:57
Mar 30@ VGK10001108:53
Mar 28@ CGY11000007:42
Markets · latest captured, not current

Apr 9 at Los Angeles Kings · 10:30 PM ET

The prices posted for a game already played. Open to see them.

He played for VAN in this game.

The model has not beaten the Pinnacle closing line: shots-on-goal ROI −0.0709 [−0.0932, −0.0467] per unit over 7,171 bets in a 2025-26 backtest of 512 games. How this was measured

Pre-game snapshotCaptured Oct 1, 8:21 PM ET

This game’s markets: the posted line, the model’s projection and its chance of the over
MarketLineModel projectionModel chance of over
Anytime goal0.50.17%