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Alex Steeves

Boston Bruins

Alex Steeves

BOSForwardJersey number #21

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2025-26 regular season

Games played
43
Goals
9
Assists
7
Points
16

How good

Among 980 forwards, 2021-22 to 2026-27

Pool: every forward who played in those seasons · Sample: 59 games

No production figure in the top quarter of his pool. Top tenth in hits, which describes his role rather than his quality.

Production

Production: percentile among 980 forwards, and the adjusted per-game rate it was computed from
StatPctlAdjusted per game
Points480.35
Goals720.19
Assists330.16
Shots on goal431.27
Power-play points550.06

Style and role

Style and role: percentile among 980 forwards, and the adjusted per-game rate it was computed from
StatPctlAdjusted per game
Hits983.21
Blocked shots580.57
Penalty minutes860.68

Further right means more, not better: hits, blocked shots and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

What adjusted per game means — not his recorded rate
Adjusted per game is the rate each percentile was computed from: his recorded rate, weighted toward recent games and pulled toward the league average by sample size, so a short career does not read as an elite one. It sits closer to average than the rate recorded, so a skater with no points in his games can still show points per game above zero.

How he got here

Each regular season

  • 2021-22: 0.33 over 3 games
  • 2022-23: 0.00 over 3 games
  • 2023-24: 0.00 over 1 games
  • 2024-25: 0.29 over 7 games
  • 2025-26: 0.37 over 43 games
  • 2026-27 projected: 0.35
Points per game played, regular season. Filled dots are finished seasons; the dotted ring is the 2026-27 projection, the per-game rate the projections board uses. GP: games played.

What next

2026-27, projected

Full-season pace · his rate times the schedule

If he plays all 84 Boston Bruins games at his modelled per-game rate

Points
29.4
Goals
16.1
Assists
13.3
Shots on goal
107.1
Power-play points
5.2
Hits
269.9
Blocked shots
47.8
Penalty minutes
57.3

Based on 59 games he has played, weighted toward recent ones. It assumes he plays all 84: injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How the pace is worked out — the figure the projections board ranks on

Each figure is his per-game rate, weighted toward recent games, times the 84 games on the Boston Bruins schedule. It is the pace the projections board ranks the league on, so the figure a reader clicked there is the one at the top of this card.

Shooting

Where he shoots, and how he finishes

Shot density · 2025-26 · open play, regular season

FewerMore attempts, up to this skater’s busiest cell

1 more attempt came from outside the offensive zone and is not in the grid.

Open play · regular season · goals

Goals against a league-average finisher, by season

In 2025-26 he scored 9 where a league-average finisher would score 7.1 from his chances: 1.9 more.

  1. 2025-26 · on the rink9 G · 7.1 avg · +1.9 · 40 GP

  2. 2024-251 G · 0.8 avg · +0.2 · 5 GP

  3. 2023-240 G · 0.2 avg · −0.2 · 1 GP

  4. 2022-230 G · 0.5 avg · −0.5 · 2 GP

  5. 2021-220 G · 0.4 avg · −0.4 · 3 GP

  • Goals
  • A league-average finisher
What the ring counts — what a league-average finisher would score from the same attempts

The shot model prices the chance of a goal on every unblocked attempt he took in open play during the regular season; shootouts and penalty shots are left out. Those chances are scaled so that, across the league, they add up to the goals actually scored that season, so the ring is what a league-average finisher would have scored from his attempts and each season is measured against its own average. The gap is his goals minus that; the table below lists the exact figures.

Finishing against the league average · open play, regular season

Finishing by season: goals against a league-average finisher on the same attempts
SeasonG
2025-267.19+1.94086
2024-250.81+0.2511
2023-240.20−0.213
2022-230.50−0.525
2021-220.40−0.434

G vs avg: goals minus what a league-average finisher would score from the same attempts (Exp G, the model’s expected goals scaled to that season’s league-wide scoring).

Detail

The record

Regular season

Regular season, by season
SeasonGAP
2025-264397160.375511:56
2024-2571120.2979:53
2023-2410000.00110:14
2022-2330000.0037:50
2021-2230110.3327:58

2025-26 regular season by strength · G-A-P

Even strength
7 goals, 5 assists, 12 points
Power play
1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points
Shorthanded
1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point

Penalty-shot goals are not counted here: each one leaves these a goal and a point below his regular-season totals.

Last 10 games

Last 10 games, newest first
DateOppGAHITBLKPIM
May 1vs BUF, playoff game200030012:46
Apr 28@ BUF, playoff game100040013:23
Apr 12@ CBJ200010211:13
Apr 7@ CAR100030010:13
Mar 16@ NJD100061011:34
Mar 12vs SJS200070010:44
Mar 7vs WSH000030010:31
Feb 4@ FLA301010010:56
Feb 1@ TBL11002108:02
Jan 26@ NYR100022011:25

PO = playoff game.

Markets · tonight

Oct 2 at Winnipeg Jets · 8:00 PM ET

The model has not beaten the Pinnacle closing line: shots-on-goal ROI −0.0709 [−0.0932, −0.0467] per unit over 7,171 bets in a 2025-26 backtest of 512 games. How this was measured

Lineup unconfirmed

Pre-game snapshotCaptured Oct 2, 7:52 PM ET· not updated during play

This game’s markets: the posted line and the model’s projection
MarketLineModel projection
Assists, shots on goalNo line posted.