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Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked by power-play points. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

156 left wings · sorted by power-play points · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
101
12.7
6.4
6.3
70.1
1.5
47.4
53.6
9.3
84
102
22.3
2.6
19.7
66.3
1.5
95.2
24.0
41.8
84
103
18.2
8.7
9.4
115.2
1.5
131.4
39.3
46.2
84
104
24.9
12.7
12.3
81.6
1.4
55.0
53.0
32.4
84
105
28.4
11.8
16.5
99.2
1.4
92.0
46.2
28.8
84
106
26.8
9.9
16.9
94.4
1.3
85.3
37.0
15.0
84
107
31.8
21.6
10.2
117.4
1.3
145.1
75.2
38.6
84
108
33.5
8.9
24.7
73.0
1.2
110.6
52.0
84.6
84
109
24.1
14.7
9.4
84.8
1.2
231.4
27.7
35.3
84
110
5.5
2.0
3.5
61.0
1.2
116.8
15.9
29.8
84
111
21.8
8.3
13.5
86.8
1.1
273.6
57.8
90.9
84
112
54.8
24.3
30.5
156.6
1.0
35.6
44.2
18.9
84
113
6.8
4.1
2.6
48.5
0.9
236.4
25.8
172.2
84
114
13.2
6.1
7.2
53.0
0.9
145.1
18.8
45.3
84
115
20.9
8.6
12.3
95.0
0.9
167.2
56.5
66.1
84
116
13.0
8.1
4.9
90.9
0.8
157.2
30.2
29.7
84
117
26.4
13.1
13.3
99.6
0.8
211.8
33.0
118.2
84
118
18.1
7.5
10.6
78.6
0.8
161.7
39.5
42.9
84
119
14.5
8.0
6.5
74.2
0.8
43.7
68.1
10.1
84
120
9.6
3.2
6.5
62.4
0.8
133.7
30.0
13.2
84
121
25.0
10.9
14.2
100.4
0.7
107.8
44.5
29.1
84
122
16.1
4.4
11.7
66.9
0.7
141.2
42.3
21.5
84
123
20.4
6.4
14.0
93.6
0.7
200.4
35.6
38.3
84
124
23.6
10.6
12.9
96.4
0.7
98.5
22.0
30.8
84
125
16.9
8.0
8.8
110.3
0.7
166.2
36.5
13.6
84
126
24.7
9.2
15.6
107.1
0.7
82.0
52.2
3.8
84
127
19.9
11.2
8.7
74.5
0.7
183.0
42.5
16.7
84
128
29.1
14.5
14.6
135.9
0.6
80.7
42.2
38.4
84
129
17.7
8.5
9.3
98.2
0.6
208.9
19.6
56.8
84
130
25.6
8.6
17.0
71.7
0.6
294.0
42.5
43.0
84
131
34.5
21.3
13.3
110.6
0.6
108.5
36.6
8.6
84
132
10.9
3.8
7.1
58.2
0.6
285.1
32.7
130.5
84
133
15.3
8.6
6.7
110.3
0.5
118.8
53.4
28.4
84
134
19.0
5.6
13.4
113.2
0.5
27.5
15.9
31.1
84
135
23.4
11.9
11.4
137.2
0.5
111.0
32.3
66.3
84
136
14.7
10.4
4.2
72.8
0.3
185.2
55.4
29.6
84
137
5.9
1.7
4.2
31.9
0.3
124.8
31.2
121.0
84
138
13.8
6.2
7.5
74.4
0.3
241.1
37.3
134.0
84
139
13.4
5.7
7.7
81.8
0.3
170.8
23.4
79.9
84
140
16.2
10.1
6.2
82.1
0.3
244.2
41.0
34.0
84
141
19.4
7.0
12.3
111.8
0.3
247.0
35.0
146.5
84
142
20.4
11.9
8.5
70.9
0.2
181.2
22.5
35.7
84
143
12.0
3.8
8.1
75.5
0.2
225.5
41.5
84.6
84
144
13.3
5.1
8.2
78.6
0.2
109.0
37.4
32.8
84
145
7.9
2.9
5.0
63.0
0.2
285.7
27.5
109.5
84
146
21.5
11.0
10.5
105.4
0.2
144.2
27.1
28.1
84
147
14.8
5.8
8.9
84.7
0.2
216.4
75.8
54.8
84
148
20.5
8.0
12.5
101.0
0.2
253.3
26.6
26.1
84
149
14.0
3.2
10.8
42.5
0.1
244.2
28.6
139.1
84
150
21.1
9.6
11.5
78.5
0.1
294.6
67.3
61.5
84

No consistency figure for power-play points: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that power-play points is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-02.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency