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Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked by assists. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

589 forwards · sorted by assists · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
251
40.6
20.5
20.1
154.5
6.9
40.2
50.8
28.7
84
252
32.8
12.7
20.1
96.8
2.9
74.8
67.1
33.8
84
253
39.3
19.3
20.0
132.3
4.5
57.0
36.3
22.3
84
254
31.3
11.4
19.9
97.6
8.4
85.2
25.3
7.8
84
255
38.7
18.9
19.8
147.4
5.3
91.4
21.1
48.4
84
256
28.0
8.2
19.8
115.2
4.8
95.1
54.4
47.3
84
257
32.1
12.3
19.8
129.5
9.0
76.2
39.6
18.5
84
258
22.3
2.6
19.7
66.3
1.5
95.2
24.0
41.8
84
259
31.9
12.3
19.6
112.1
8.9
19.6
35.3
41.3
84
260
24.8
5.3
19.5
86.7
4.4
71.1
23.1
9.3
84
261
38.2
18.8
19.4
140.9
0.5
39.0
23.7
16.6
84
262
32.3
12.9
19.4
129.6
0.1
121.3
52.0
37.7
84
263
38.6
19.3
19.3
126.3
3.9
210.6
50.2
33.4
84
264
30.9
11.7
19.3
106.4
0.9
116.9
46.3
40.9
84
265
31.2
12.0
19.2
105.2
0.7
188.7
61.0
44.6
84
266
34.7
15.5
19.2
134.4
8.8
47.1
27.1
24.7
84
267
35.9
16.7
19.2
140.4
6.5
19.1
39.3
24.6
84
268
37.5
18.4
19.1
135.6
4.9
248.8
48.8
57.5
84
269
32.9
13.8
19.1
99.7
5.6
55.2
23.8
18.5
84
270
32.1
13.0
19.1
92.0
6.1
77.6
44.6
36.1
84
271
33.3
14.2
19.1
114.1
2.0
92.0
28.2
37.4
84
272
37.0
17.9
19.1
153.1
3.9
68.1
53.8
37.3
84
273
32.2
13.1
19.1
105.9
5.0
46.6
63.8
12.0
84
274
37.0
18.1
19.0
156.3
10.5
28.6
22.6
10.0
84
275
37.9
19.0
18.9
154.9
8.6
23.2
36.1
12.3
84
276
27.3
8.5
18.8
71.9
4.8
108.8
50.2
41.2
84
277
26.0
7.3
18.8
95.6
0.4
158.6
26.0
19.5
84
278
28.3
9.5
18.7
112.3
2.6
98.7
34.4
39.3
84
279
27.0
8.3
18.7
84.4
0.5
127.1
41.1
14.8
84
280
30.5
11.8
18.7
109.5
4.0
50.1
40.2
14.3
84
281
36.2
17.6
18.7
121.3
8.7
32.8
50.1
22.0
84
282
34.7
16.1
18.6
114.0
7.5
163.7
42.7
45.2
84
283
33.2
14.6
18.6
166.8
3.2
195.9
38.2
33.7
84
284
33.2
14.7
18.5
104.1
1.2
109.1
49.6
20.0
84
285
31.5
13.0
18.4
103.2
5.4
209.8
44.1
61.0
84
286
28.3
9.8
18.4
80.0
5.5
122.3
49.0
42.0
84
287
35.7
17.3
18.4
139.8
4.3
88.8
28.7
23.1
84
288
30.3
11.9
18.4
104.3
6.2
105.6
50.8
43.4
84
289
35.5
17.1
18.4
161.3
10.1
42.0
64.9
18.8
84
290
33.7
15.5
18.2
125.7
2.2
139.3
29.5
28.9
84
291
23.8
5.6
18.2
80.7
2.4
42.3
35.1
15.7
84
292
36.7
18.5
18.2
154.4
5.6
294.9
56.1
59.1
84
293
40.2
22.0
18.2
147.2
3.8
222.5
53.0
43.2
84
294
39.2
21.0
18.1
124.8
5.1
93.5
38.1
32.6
84
295
35.9
17.8
18.1
119.2
6.0
136.2
51.8
20.1
84
296
35.5
17.4
18.1
157.0
8.3
150.2
49.5
18.6
84
297
24.0
6.1
17.9
89.3
0.4
178.7
57.5
37.9
84
298
22.4
4.5
17.9
111.1
0.2
93.1
42.5
17.8
84
299
24.6
6.9
17.8
65.3
2.3
58.9
31.0
27.9
84
300
39.9
22.2
17.7
172.6
8.2
406.6
33.4
55.0
84

No consistency figure for assists: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that assists is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-02.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency