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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by assists.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
1
Connor McDavidEDM · C
132.8
40.9
91.9
289.9
48.9
66.1
34.5
39.5
82
2
Nikita KucherovTBL · R
129.3
40.5
88.8
265.7
43.9
41.8
31.6
49.2
82
3
Nathan MacKinnonCOL · C
124.5
47.6
76.9
359.0
36.0
61.1
47.1
40.2
82
4
Quinn HughesMIN · D
87.4
12.8
74.6
201.2
35.1
14.9
84.4
35.2
82
5
Leon DraisaitlEDM · C
120.3
47.6
72.6
241.1
46.6
51.4
29.2
39.4
82
6
Jack EichelVGK · C
93.7
27.3
66.4
269.9
31.1
47.3
62.7
23.1
82
7
David PastrnakBOS · R
104.4
38.5
65.9
311.9
30.6
84.4
30.9
62.6
82
8
Mitch MarnerVGK · R
92.3
27.2
65.0
178.0
28.5
51.8
48.0
21.3
82
9
Evan BouchardEDM · D
82.5
18.2
64.3
219.0
30.5
44.0
104.5
31.0
82
10
Mikko RantanenDAL · R
97.2
33.4
63.8
215.3
39.4
65.1
48.5
86.3
82
11
Lane HutsonMTL · D
73.3
10.2
63.1
114.8
25.6
35.4
131.6
35.6
82
12
Jack HughesNJD · C
99.0
36.8
62.1
314.2
33.0
9.2
39.0
15.7
82
13
Macklin CelebriniSJS · C
102.1
40.1
62.0
282.6
30.6
50.5
55.8
40.6
82
14
Adam FoxNYR · D
74.6
13.0
61.6
145.2
30.3
42.0
122.8
34.4
82
15
Cale MakarCOL · D
86.2
24.9
61.3
234.1
32.4
46.3
135.5
23.2
82
16
Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
82.5
22.0
60.5
281.2
22.1
28.8
118.3
23.9
82
17
Aleksander BarkovFLA · C
85.8
25.7
60.1
200.5
31.3
120.0
66.3
21.0
82
18
Nick SuzukiMTL · C
87.8
28.0
59.8
178.9
34.5
74.3
64.3
24.6
82
19
Artemi PanarinLAK · L
91.9
33.7
58.3
237.4
29.5
17.8
15.3
20.9
82
20
Matthew TkachukFLA · L
90.6
32.7
57.9
248.5
33.6
125.0
26.0
109.5
82
21
Clayton KellerUTA · R
86.4
28.5
57.9
227.0
28.7
14.6
33.4
34.3
82
22
Robert ThomasSTL · C
85.2
27.7
57.5
144.8
21.1
18.3
49.4
31.3
82
23
Martin NecasCOL · C
87.0
30.5
56.5
213.1
24.6
85.6
25.6
28.7
82
24
Mark ScheifeleWPG · C
92.5
36.0
56.4
177.9
22.7
54.1
49.9
51.8
82
25
Sidney CrosbyPIT · C
90.5
34.5
55.9
223.4
27.1
77.0
39.9
46.1
82
26
Rasmus DahlinBUF · D
75.5
19.9
55.6
220.2
24.7
102.5
102.7
78.6
82
27
Jesper BrattNJD · L
76.5
23.0
53.6
192.9
24.1
74.9
31.2
13.4
82
28
William NylanderTOR · R
92.6
40.0
52.6
240.4
28.5
20.5
31.2
23.4
82
29
Mark StoneVGK · R
84.5
32.0
52.5
173.6
30.3
64.3
58.5
20.3
82
30
Kirill KaprizovMIN · L
99.3
47.0
52.2
280.9
34.3
60.8
37.7
32.9
82
31
Kyle ConnorWPG · L
91.2
39.4
51.9
274.7
22.9
32.8
27.8
17.1
82
32
Mathew BarzalNYI · C
71.5
19.7
51.8
199.0
20.3
39.4
51.6
48.3
82
33
Mats ZuccarelloLAK · C
72.4
20.6
51.8
177.3
28.5
36.0
45.6
27.5
82
34
Roman JosiNSH · D
68.8
17.1
51.6
237.8
29.1
43.4
135.7
36.6
82
35
Victor HedmanTBL · D
62.0
10.7
51.3
170.2
24.0
58.9
123.7
38.2
82
36
J.T. MillerNYR · C
76.3
25.2
51.1
177.3
26.7
176.3
49.6
50.2
82
37
Tim StützleOTT · C
80.2
29.2
50.9
191.4
28.9
133.4
45.2
40.2
82
38
Miro HeiskanenDAL · D
61.5
10.6
50.9
174.3
28.0
36.9
130.9
29.7
82
39
Erik KarlssonPIT · D
65.2
14.7
50.5
194.9
23.4
28.2
81.3
30.8
82
40
Evgeni MalkinPIT · C
75.0
25.5
49.5
194.0
26.6
38.3
36.9
74.1
82
41
Connor BedardCHI · C
79.6
30.2
49.4
241.3
26.2
44.4
34.0
59.3
82
42
Lucas RaymondDET · L
75.1
26.1
49.0
177.5
27.8
48.0
30.1
22.5
82
43
Sebastian AhoCAR · C
78.7
30.0
48.7
206.8
25.6
78.6
29.0
45.5
82
44
Jake GuentzelTBL · C
87.0
38.6
48.3
234.7
29.1
45.1
43.0
50.7
82
45
Jason RobertsonDAL · L
88.5
40.3
48.2
263.0
33.9
58.7
37.0
24.9
82
46
Mikhail SergachevUTA · D
58.9
11.0
47.9
153.2
23.8
62.5
143.1
45.0
82
47
John CarlsonTBL · D
59.0
11.3
47.7
176.8
16.8
51.0
135.7
31.6
82
48
Charlie McAvoyBOS · D
59.2
11.6
47.6
143.2
19.9
130.8
154.4
85.5
82
49
Patrick KaneCHI · R
70.1
22.5
47.6
214.7
26.5
23.4
27.4
18.9
82
50
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
61.1
13.9
47.2
167.5
19.5
59.9
120.7
33.8
82

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.