Projections

Projected shots — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · projected shots

1

Nathan MacKinnonCOL · F

360.3

×82 gp

2

Auston MatthewsTOR · F

328.2

×82 gp

3

Brady TkachukOTT · F

320.8

×82 gp

4

Jack HughesNJD · F

315.7

×82 gp

5

David PastrnakBOS · F

313.0

×82 gp

6

Connor McDavidEDM · F

290.8

×82 gp

7

Macklin CelebriniSJS · F

283.8

×82 gp

8

Zach WerenskiCBJ · D

282.3

×82 gp

9

Kirill KaprizovMIN · F

281.9

×82 gp

10

Timo MeierNJD · F

276.6

×82 gp

11

Tage ThompsonBUF · F

276.0

×82 gp

12

Kyle ConnorWPG · F

275.6

×82 gp

13

Matt BoldyMIN · F

273.6

×82 gp

14

Jack EichelVGK · F

270.8

×82 gp

15

Filip ForsbergNSH · F

269.5

×82 gp

16

Alex OvechkinWSH · F

269.0

×82 gp

17

Alex DeBrincatDET · F

267.4

×82 gp

18

Nikita KucherovTBL · F

266.6

×82 gp

19

Cutter GauthierANA · F

266.3

×82 gp

20

Jason RobertsonDAL · F

263.8

×82 gp

21

Bo HorvatNYI · F

258.0

×82 gp

22

Cole CaufieldMTL · F

256.0

×82 gp

23

Nazem KadriCOL · F

249.7

×82 gp

24

Matthew TkachukFLA · F

249.5

×82 gp

25

Dylan LarkinDET · F

249.2

×82 gp

26

Dylan GuentherUTA · F

247.1

×82 gp

27

Joel Eriksson EkMIN · F

246.8

×82 gp

28

Anton FrondellCHI · F

246.0

×82 gp

29

Connor BedardCHI · F

242.1

×82 gp

30

Leon DraisaitlEDM · F

241.7

×82 gp

31

William NylanderTOR · F

241.2

×82 gp

32

Zach HymanEDM · F

240.9

×82 gp

33

Roman JosiNSH · D

238.7

×82 gp

34

Artemi PanarinLAK · F

238.0

×82 gp

35

Adrian KempeLAK · F

237.8

×82 gp

36

Porter MartonePHI · F

237.4

×82 gp

37

Jake GuentzelTBL · F

235.4

×82 gp

38

Cale MakarCOL · D

234.8

×82 gp

39

Kevin FialaLAK · F

233.2

×82 gp

40

Sam BennettFLA · F

230.7

×82 gp

41

Pavel DorofeyevVGK · F

229.8

×82 gp

42

Clayton KellerUTA · F

227.6

×82 gp

43

Dougie HamiltonNJD · D

227.0

×82 gp

44

Seth JarvisCAR · F

225.0

×82 gp

45

Sidney CrosbyPIT · F

224.0

×82 gp

46

Owen TippettPHI · F

223.4

×82 gp

47

Carter VerhaegheFLA · F

223.2

×82 gp

48

Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · F

222.4

×82 gp

49

Brandon HagelTBL · F

222.3

×82 gp

50

Brandon MontourSEA · D

222.1

×82 gp