ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by pim.

Sort by

Over

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
1
Scott SabourinTBL · R39 sample
14.9
3.1
11.8
36.3
0.3
199.3
34.3
252.3
82
2
Curtis DouglasSEA · C7.91×
8.3
2.2
6.1
57.0
0.2
121.6
23.9
202.2
82
3
Mason GeertsenBUF · L30 sample
5.0
1.9
3.1
36.2
1.1
139.4
13.7
187.6
82
4
Nikita ZadorovBOS · D5.93×
22.5
4.3
18.3
108.1
0.1
205.5
97.8
156.0
82
5
Arber XhekajMTL · D5.09×
8.4
2.5
5.9
67.7
0.3
229.2
61.3
147.1
82
6
Jeffrey VielTBL · L4.89×
19.2
7.0
12.2
109.7
0.1
240.6
34.8
144.0
82
7
Maveric LamoureuxUTA · D20 sample
18.0
4.1
13.9
85.6
0.6
128.9
93.1
142.7
82
8
Bokondji ImamaFLA · L33 sample
6.3
4.5
1.8
55.3
0.6
211.4
29.6
142.1
82
9
Logan StanleyBUF · D5.54×
22.0
6.3
15.7
88.6
0.7
123.6
96.4
138.6
82
10
Ross JohnstonSTL · L6.78×
13.5
3.0
10.5
40.7
0.1
239.6
27.6
136.6
82
11
Mark KastelicBOS · C6.73×
19.6
9.6
10.0
94.8
0.6
229.0
57.5
132.8
82
12
Jonah GadjovichFLA · L6.84×
13.0
5.9
7.1
71.6
0.1
237.8
35.8
132.4
82
13
Mathieu OlivierCBJ · R5.84×
31.0
17.0
13.9
113.4
0.1
279.8
65.0
130.8
82
14
Michael PezzettaTOR · L5.83×
10.1
3.5
6.6
55.3
0.4
282.0
31.2
129.2
82
15
Connor MackeyCHI · D39 sample
12.4
4.9
7.6
75.5
0.9
119.2
69.3
128.2
82
16
Donovan SebrangoFLA · D6.32×
15.8
0.3
15.4
64.5
0.2
145.8
61.2
127.6
82
17
Tom WilsonWSH · R6.50×
63.6
31.3
32.3
174.6
14.7
228.7
67.3
126.9
82
18
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL · D5.19×
33.8
6.8
26.9
96.0
3.4
115.5
85.1
126.9
82
19
Liam O'BrienUTA · C6.31×
11.2
4.8
6.4
76.7
0.1
261.6
34.8
126.2
82
20
Brady TkachukFLA · L6.35×
72.6
31.9
40.8
319.5
25.2
250.4
30.0
120.9
82
21
Kurtis MacDermidOTT · L5.34×
5.2
1.4
3.7
29.2
0.2
122.2
29.8
119.6
82
22
Mason ShawMIN · C6.18×
20.1
7.8
12.3
113.5
0.6
119.3
34.8
115.9
82
23
A.J. GreerANA · L6.35×
25.7
12.7
12.9
97.0
0.7
207.5
32.0
115.9
82
24
Evander KaneVAN · L6.16×
40.7
19.4
21.3
209.0
6.5
191.5
31.6
114.5
82
25
Adam KlapkaCGY · R5.35×
20.0
8.0
12.1
88.4
1.8
300.5
55.0
111.4
82
26
Matthew TkachukFLA · L6.57×
90.6
32.7
57.9
248.5
33.6
125.0
26.0
109.5
82
27
John HaydenSEA · C9.82×
8.5
4.6
4.0
82.9
0.4
165.5
63.0
105.1
82
28
Tyler TuckerSTL · D5.47×
18.4
4.5
13.8
77.7
0.1
139.0
67.3
102.5
82
29
Radko GudasFLA · D4.73×
18.4
2.9
15.5
96.2
0.7
267.7
152.3
101.5
82
30
Josh AndersonMTL · R5.29×
27.2
16.0
11.1
120.4
0.6
169.7
46.1
101.4
82
31
Max DomiTOR · C7.80×
40.3
12.0
28.4
124.3
7.6
41.7
31.7
100.7
82
32
Nicolas DeslauriersCAR · L6.51×
7.6
2.8
4.8
62.2
0.1
282.0
27.0
100.1
82
33
Joshua BrownEDM · D5.70×
12.4
3.8
8.7
75.0
0.3
174.7
135.2
100.1
82
34
Sam BennettFLA · C4.43×
59.4
28.7
30.8
230.1
14.4
173.4
40.6
99.6
82
35
Zack MacEwenTOR · C5.20×
11.0
5.7
5.2
90.0
0.2
180.8
31.1
98.5
82
36
Charles Alexis LegaultCAR · D12 sample
15.5
7.4
8.1
85.7
0.6
89.8
68.3
97.7
82
37
Michael KesselringSJS · D4.60×
19.6
4.3
15.3
123.9
1.4
84.9
76.4
97.5
82
38
Matt RempeNYR · C6.98×
9.3
4.7
4.5
53.4
0.1
250.1
24.0
97.3
82
39
Jeremy LauzonVGK · D4.06×
12.5
2.0
10.5
85.4
0.1
319.3
113.4
97.3
82
40
Hayden HodgsonOTT · R19 sample
4.2
1.5
2.7
47.3
0.7
226.2
9.5
96.3
82
41
Alec RegulaEDM · D4.12×
9.2
0.6
8.6
54.7
0.3
47.1
122.9
95.8
82
42
Dylan McIlrathWSH · D4.89×
6.0
0.6
5.5
40.1
0.3
170.5
62.1
95.5
82
43
Kaiden GuhleMTL · D3.87×
26.5
5.3
21.3
89.2
0.1
173.7
162.1
95.4
82
44
Michael McCarronMIN · C6.08×
18.8
8.7
10.1
105.3
0.1
192.5
75.5
94.3
82
45
Brayden PachalCGY · D3.94×
13.8
2.8
11.0
67.2
0.1
183.4
90.0
94.0
82
46
Emil LillebergTBL · D4.28×
17.8
3.5
14.3
60.3
0.1
155.0
72.8
93.7
82
47
Marcus FolignoMIN · L6.09×
26.3
14.1
12.2
93.0
1.8
285.8
58.2
92.8
82
48
Martin PospisilCGY · C6.76×
22.7
5.3
17.4
110.5
2.2
305.5
26.2
89.8
82
49
Darnell NurseSJS · D5.46×
28.4
7.4
21.0
178.2
1.4
158.5
163.7
89.6
82
50
Andreas EnglundCGY · D5.27×
8.7
1.5
7.2
43.8
0.2
190.9
83.0
89.1
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.