Projections

Projected goals — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · projected goals

1

Leon DraisaitlEDM · F

47.9

×82 gp

2

Nathan MacKinnonCOL · F

47.8

×82 gp

3

Kirill KaprizovMIN · F

47.2

×82 gp

4

Auston MatthewsTOR · F

43.1

×82 gp

5

Cole CaufieldMTL · F

41.8

×82 gp

6

Tage ThompsonBUF · F

41.2

×82 gp

7

Connor McDavidEDM · F

41.1

×82 gp

8

Nikita KucherovTBL · F

40.6

×82 gp

9

Jason RobertsonDAL · F

40.4

×82 gp

10

Macklin CelebriniSJS · F

40.3

×82 gp

11

Sam ReinhartFLA · F

40.2

×82 gp

12

William NylanderTOR · F

40.2

×82 gp

13

Zach HymanEDM · F

40.0

×82 gp

14

Kyle ConnorWPG · F

39.5

×82 gp

15

Jake GuentzelTBL · F

38.8

×82 gp

16

David PastrnakBOS · F

38.6

×82 gp

17

Matt BoldyMIN · F

38.6

×82 gp

18

Alex OvechkinWSH · F

38.6

×82 gp

19

Filip ForsbergNSH · F

38.5

×82 gp

20

Wyatt JohnstonDAL · F

38.0

×82 gp

21

Steven StamkosNSH · F

37.9

×82 gp

22

Alex DeBrincatDET · F

37.8

×82 gp

23

Dylan GuentherUTA · F

37.4

×82 gp

24

Brandon HagelTBL · F

37.2

×82 gp

25

Jack HughesNJD · F

37.0

×82 gp

26

Mark ScheifeleWPG · F

36.2

×82 gp

27

Adrian KempeLAK · F

36.0

×82 gp

28

Pavel DorofeyevVGK · F

35.7

×82 gp

29

Dylan LarkinDET · F

35.4

×82 gp

30

Cutter GauthierANA · F

34.9

×82 gp

31

Sidney CrosbyPIT · F

34.7

×82 gp

32

Bo HorvatNYI · F

34.1

×82 gp

33

Brayden PointTBL · F

34.0

×82 gp

34

Brad MarchandFLA · F

34.0

×82 gp

35

Artemi PanarinLAK · F

33.8

×82 gp

36

Mikko RantanenDAL · F

33.5

×82 gp

37

John TavaresTOR · F

33.3

×82 gp

38

Matthew TkachukFLA · F

32.9

×82 gp

39

Alex TuchBUF · F

32.9

×82 gp

40

Morgan GeekieBOS · F

32.6

×82 gp

41

Bryan RustPIT · F

32.4

×82 gp

42

Mark StoneVGK · F

32.1

×82 gp

43

Seth JarvisCAR · F

32.1

×82 gp

44

Brady TkachukOTT · F

32.0

×82 gp

45

Tom WilsonWSH · F

31.4

×82 gp

46

Nico HischierNJD · F

31.4

×82 gp

47

Drake BathersonOTT · F

30.8

×82 gp

48

Martin NecasCOL · F

30.6

×82 gp

49

Connor BedardCHI · F

30.4

×82 gp

50

Logan CooleyUTA · F

30.2

×82 gp