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Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked league-wide by points. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

912 skaters · sorted by points · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
701
17.8
9.1
8.7
95.5
1.3
182.9
70.3
69.7
84
702
17.7
8.5
9.3
98.2
0.6
208.9
19.6
56.8
84
703
17.7
6.0
11.8
95.5
0.3
117.2
145.2
39.7
84
704
17.7
3.4
14.3
75.9
0.1
140.6
138.1
38.5
84
705
17.7
9.2
8.5
95.5
0.6
141.7
30.7
35.7
84
706
17.7
8.2
9.4
79.7
1.0
131.6
43.4
25.7
84
707
17.6
4.0
13.6
85.5
0.2
198.9
57.3
53.9
84
708
17.6
3.6
14.0
78.2
0.1
185.6
124.1
75.9
84
709
17.6
8.5
9.1
36.1
0.5
85.2
39.8
27.9
84
710
17.6
8.6
8.9
86.8
0.1
242.4
29.5
65.7
84
711
17.5
3.9
13.6
87.1
0.1
127.4
151.5
32.8
84
712
17.5
4.8
12.7
87.3
1.0
121.2
71.4
46.2
84
713
17.4
3.5
14.0
61.1
0.1
209.8
108.6
83.5
84
714
17.4
9.9
7.5
97.1
4.8
116.2
54.1
24.8
84
715
17.3
4.0
13.4
87.4
1.0
223.6
115.8
67.7
84
716
17.3
5.9
11.4
84.8
0.9
130.3
49.3
4.3
84
717
17.3
1.8
15.5
79.5
2.7
112.3
108.8
32.5
84
718
17.2
6.0
11.2
87.5
0.2
207.7
56.2
31.9
84
719
17.1
5.8
11.3
48.5
0.5
139.4
50.3
21.0
84
720
17.1
10.7
6.4
74.5
0.5
151.8
43.6
29.6
84
721
17.0
4.1
12.9
89.1
2.4
47.5
73.7
23.7
84
722
17.0
9.9
7.0
73.4
0.8
202.3
34.0
49.1
84
723
16.9
1.5
15.4
85.3
0.2
86.8
81.3
26.1
84
724
16.9
12.9
4.0
81.7
1.4
108.2
29.0
27.8
84
725
16.9
3.0
13.8
55.3
2.4
31.6
107.9
16.2
84
726
16.9
2.5
14.3
78.5
0.1
69.3
126.2
17.4
84
727
16.9
4.8
12.1
97.8
0.3
156.7
103.1
71.9
84
728
16.9
8.0
8.8
110.3
0.7
166.2
36.5
13.6
84
729
16.8
3.8
13.0
66.2
2.5
17.2
77.0
16.8
84
730
16.8
5.7
11.1
68.1
0.6
49.7
54.2
7.1
84
731
16.7
3.5
13.2
77.8
2.0
57.4
97.1
33.7
84
732
16.7
3.1
13.6
65.9
0.1
79.6
132.7
56.4
84
733
16.6
0.6
16.0
67.5
0.4
148.3
62.8
128.8
84
734
16.6
8.5
8.1
87.1
0.1
124.4
34.0
18.9
84
735
16.6
4.1
12.5
88.5
1.1
140.4
99.3
82.3
84
736
16.5
1.9
14.6
87.7
3.1
39.1
105.4
23.6
84
737
16.5
3.1
13.3
67.9
0.7
39.1
80.8
14.8
84
738
16.5
5.1
11.4
111.6
0.5
163.9
161.2
70.3
84
739
16.4
7.6
8.8
93.4
0.3
200.4
51.3
36.3
84
740
16.4
3.1
13.3
81.1
2.0
124.8
119.4
31.1
84
741
16.3
1.9
14.4
51.4
1.1
64.2
54.0
16.6
84
742
16.3
6.4
9.8
78.5
1.2
102.5
60.7
38.1
84
743
16.3
8.3
8.0
97.7
0.2
325.8
41.9
23.1
84
744
16.2
10.1
6.2
82.1
0.3
244.2
41.0
34.0
84
745
16.2
2.8
13.4
45.0
0.7
121.8
91.1
29.6
84
746
16.1
4.4
11.7
66.9
0.7
141.2
42.3
21.5
84
747
16.0
7.7
8.3
65.5
4.6
31.1
19.4
18.9
84
748
16.0
3.4
12.7
74.9
0.1
149.8
89.6
51.6
84
749
16.0
2.7
13.3
62.1
1.4
100.1
97.5
26.3
84
750
16.0
3.5
12.5
40.2
0.5
201.0
36.2
251.6
84

No consistency figure for points: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that points is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-03.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency