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Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked league-wide by points. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

911 skaters · sorted by points · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
651
19.2
10.2
9.0
119.0
6.1
99.7
52.7
44.8
84
652
19.2
3.7
15.5
82.0
2.9
39.1
85.0
17.1
84
653
19.1
3.2
15.9
104.1
0.4
110.2
146.9
70.6
84
654
19.1
4.6
14.5
103.9
3.5
130.0
69.1
44.5
84
655
19.1
6.9
12.2
89.4
2.9
71.4
104.6
25.4
84
656
19.1
3.8
15.3
88.7
1.0
49.5
74.3
29.6
84
657
19.1
6.8
12.3
82.9
1.1
72.6
35.6
13.8
84
658
19.0
3.8
15.3
101.9
0.1
164.6
141.4
28.1
84
659
19.0
4.8
14.3
80.1
0.2
142.0
69.0
104.4
84
660
19.0
4.1
14.9
133.1
0.6
132.4
94.5
36.9
84
661
19.0
5.6
13.4
113.2
0.5
27.5
15.9
31.1
84
662
19.0
2.7
16.3
69.8
0.2
18.1
138.0
26.1
84
663
18.9
9.8
9.1
96.3
0.6
128.1
32.8
8.8
84
664
18.9
2.9
16.0
58.8
0.3
39.8
204.6
21.9
84
665
18.8
2.6
16.2
61.1
2.5
95.7
84.1
32.3
84
666
18.8
4.0
14.9
65.3
1.4
122.4
115.5
54.4
84
667
18.8
4.6
14.2
79.4
0.3
49.5
69.7
16.8
84
668
18.8
6.6
12.2
87.6
0.6
129.2
38.6
34.5
84
669
18.8
4.8
13.9
62.0
0.1
47.1
31.4
38.4
84
670
18.8
6.7
12.1
91.0
0.2
79.5
144.7
41.1
84
671
18.7
9.7
9.1
83.6
0.6
195.4
44.0
18.7
84
672
18.7
6.1
12.5
106.1
3.4
58.0
120.5
19.4
84
673
18.7
7.3
11.3
103.5
1.4
115.7
71.5
60.0
84
674
18.6
9.1
9.5
69.8
0.3
99.4
33.7
5.4
84
675
18.6
8.9
9.7
88.0
0.3
138.8
40.0
79.1
84
676
18.6
4.7
13.9
143.0
2.7
59.5
101.4
16.8
84
677
18.5
3.5
15.1
103.8
0.2
41.5
116.2
33.7
84
678
18.5
12.3
6.2
73.6
8.9
125.3
29.1
27.8
84
679
18.5
10.0
8.5
129.9
1.5
142.9
51.3
30.4
84
680
18.5
9.7
8.8
102.5
1.1
220.9
36.4
68.7
84
681
18.4
3.7
14.8
62.4
0.1
158.2
74.6
95.4
84
682
18.4
2.9
15.5
97.1
0.7
273.5
154.5
100.5
84
683
18.3
2.2
16.1
77.7
0.2
117.5
99.0
74.3
84
684
18.3
7.7
10.6
92.1
3.3
83.4
95.7
32.7
84
685
18.3
6.3
12.0
86.2
2.2
293.7
39.4
65.1
84
686
18.2
5.4
12.8
85.5
2.8
62.0
56.7
13.7
84
687
18.2
6.7
11.5
81.7
0.1
87.9
41.0
21.0
84
688
18.2
7.2
11.0
96.2
0.1
190.1
63.6
33.4
84
689
18.2
1.6
16.5
74.7
1.1
106.3
129.4
42.8
84
690
18.2
8.7
9.4
115.2
1.5
131.4
39.3
46.2
84
691
18.2
6.4
11.8
96.3
0.4
143.4
58.6
35.4
84
692
18.2
4.1
14.0
81.3
0.1
50.7
97.2
23.7
84
693
18.1
11.4
6.8
74.0
0.5
150.8
46.3
31.4
84
694
18.1
5.8
12.3
83.2
0.1
56.1
96.0
33.4
84
695
18.1
7.5
10.6
78.6
0.8
161.7
39.5
42.9
84
696
18.0
6.8
11.2
89.7
2.1
173.5
31.4
27.1
84
697
17.9
8.2
9.7
94.0
1.5
89.2
22.6
16.9
84
698
17.8
5.0
12.8
82.4
0.1
143.6
110.2
47.4
84
699
17.8
3.8
14.1
97.0
0.5
141.1
108.2
51.4
84
700
17.8
4.7
13.2
75.1
1.0
83.0
101.0
29.5
84

No consistency figure for points: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that points is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-02.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency