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Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked by blocked shots. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

287 centres · sorted by blocked shots · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
101
38.6
19.3
19.3
126.3
3.9
210.6
50.2
33.4
84
102
59.4
26.1
33.4
198.0
24.9
127.2
50.1
32.2
84
103
8.8
4.9
3.9
69.7
0.7
137.9
50.0
25.3
84
104
56.8
18.5
38.3
149.4
14.3
86.9
50.0
76.7
84
105
35.6
11.4
24.2
150.9
1.9
113.2
50.0
44.8
84
106
75.3
38.6
36.7
209.3
30.9
61.6
49.5
27.4
84
107
21.9
7.7
14.2
107.3
0.2
133.3
49.5
44.7
84
108
42.3
18.8
23.5
147.8
14.5
65.8
49.4
26.3
84
109
29.3
14.7
14.6
151.4
7.6
45.7
49.1
23.8
84
110
28.3
9.8
18.4
80.0
5.5
122.3
49.0
42.0
84
111
27.7
10.9
16.8
101.4
0.9
292.5
48.9
83.6
84
112
34.8
14.2
20.7
107.1
3.9
98.2
48.7
38.7
84
113
20.5
6.6
13.9
89.6
0.3
97.7
48.3
38.1
84
114
12.9
4.4
8.5
56.6
0.7
161.3
48.2
9.8
84
115
29.4
16.1
13.3
107.1
5.2
269.9
47.8
57.3
84
116
127.5
50.0
77.6
369.9
37.2
64.0
47.8
45.4
84
117
46.2
19.2
27.0
138.5
9.7
187.3
47.5
72.6
84
118
29.8
13.2
16.6
85.1
4.8
135.4
47.4
40.4
84
119
9.9
5.6
4.3
73.8
0.3
189.7
47.4
44.9
84
120
28.1
11.8
16.2
69.4
1.3
66.7
47.3
19.9
84
121
23.6
11.4
12.3
112.7
0.3
157.1
46.8
30.5
84
122
26.6
16.4
10.3
82.2
1.2
40.3
46.8
30.1
84
123
14.8
6.3
8.5
77.2
1.1
185.8
46.5
22.7
84
124
28.4
15.1
13.3
83.2
1.1
293.3
46.4
68.6
84
125
81.9
29.9
52.0
195.7
29.5
136.5
46.4
41.1
84
126
30.9
11.7
19.3
106.4
0.9
116.9
46.3
40.9
84
127
27.7
11.2
16.5
85.5
0.5
85.3
46.3
38.6
84
128
72.9
20.8
52.1
178.8
28.6
36.8
46.3
27.9
84
129
29.7
16.7
13.1
129.8
3.0
61.3
46.1
36.8
84
130
13.9
6.5
7.4
64.6
0.2
191.7
46.1
26.3
84
131
12.3
4.9
7.4
55.5
1.4
209.1
45.8
33.4
84
132
66.8
34.2
32.6
263.5
15.9
76.9
45.5
35.8
84
133
36.4
16.0
20.4
106.2
13.0
30.7
44.8
26.6
84
134
41.5
13.1
28.4
152.2
2.8
100.3
44.5
39.1
84
135
10.3
2.8
7.5
71.8
0.4
103.6
44.4
88.7
84
136
66.6
23.0
43.5
167.1
30.4
47.7
44.4
27.6
84
137
23.0
12.2
10.8
132.1
1.6
145.4
44.3
41.5
84
138
67.6
30.4
37.2
159.5
24.1
28.2
44.3
23.8
84
139
15.4
6.1
9.3
71.2
0.4
56.2
44.2
12.3
84
140
12.8
5.1
7.7
72.8
0.2
188.4
44.1
39.3
84
141
18.7
9.7
9.1
83.6
0.6
195.4
44.0
18.7
84
142
15.8
5.1
10.7
49.0
0.1
36.1
43.8
11.0
84
143
58.4
25.0
33.4
133.4
17.9
66.6
43.8
30.0
84
144
87.7
39.0
48.8
241.0
29.4
46.0
43.6
51.3
84
145
37.6
16.4
21.3
116.5
3.3
105.2
43.6
37.2
84
146
23.6
6.3
17.3
90.0
0.5
69.9
43.6
29.6
84
147
22.2
8.6
13.7
105.0
2.1
68.4
43.5
25.4
84
148
17.7
8.2
9.4
79.7
1.0
131.6
43.4
25.7
84
149
31.4
15.6
15.8
124.2
5.7
129.3
43.2
48.6
84
150
37.3
22.6
14.7
114.2
1.7
156.6
43.1
49.0
84

No consistency figure for blocked shots: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that blocked shots is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-02.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency