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Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked league-wide by points. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

912 skaters · sorted by points · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
601
20.7
10.4
10.3
83.2
1.6
65.5
23.0
15.1
84
602
20.7
6.0
14.7
50.2
0.3
131.8
26.6
66.6
84
603
20.7
11.7
9.0
116.1
7.7
68.1
26.8
38.4
84
604
20.7
7.4
13.3
80.1
1.7
60.0
113.4
32.8
84
605
20.6
7.6
13.0
55.7
2.4
72.6
28.9
28.6
84
606
20.6
6.7
13.8
96.5
1.6
142.7
27.2
24.3
84
607
20.5
11.4
9.1
83.0
5.8
37.7
48.8
1.8
84
608
20.5
6.6
13.9
89.6
0.3
97.7
48.3
38.1
84
609
20.5
4.7
15.8
102.9
2.7
85.2
37.5
56.8
84
610
20.4
6.4
14.0
93.5
0.7
200.4
35.6
38.3
84
611
20.4
11.9
8.5
70.9
0.2
181.2
22.5
35.7
84
612
20.4
4.3
16.0
119.5
0.2
185.2
184.0
29.7
84
613
20.4
8.4
12.0
80.6
0.7
166.9
33.5
15.3
84
614
20.4
3.6
16.7
118.5
0.7
31.5
156.9
27.5
84
615
20.3
1.7
18.6
86.4
4.5
32.2
82.2
12.2
84
616
20.3
12.7
7.6
89.6
2.6
119.7
44.7
12.8
84
617
20.3
8.1
12.2
89.2
1.9
306.4
55.4
114.4
84
618
20.3
8.8
11.4
82.5
3.2
76.6
26.2
21.1
84
619
20.2
4.5
15.8
104.8
1.5
108.4
102.2
27.8
84
620
20.2
5.3
15.0
71.4
0.5
56.4
102.9
22.1
84
621
20.2
7.9
12.3
84.8
0.7
204.1
21.2
29.6
84
622
20.2
5.8
14.4
82.9
0.1
116.8
138.2
42.0
84
623
20.2
8.8
11.4
111.0
0.1
200.5
76.3
95.0
84
624
20.1
4.5
15.6
84.9
0.1
119.3
152.6
69.9
84
625
20.1
3.8
16.3
67.6
0.2
106.1
100.3
39.9
84
626
20.1
6.2
13.9
65.7
0.5
57.5
79.7
25.3
84
627
20.1
9.2
10.9
94.0
0.3
56.9
24.0
12.9
84
628
20.1
11.6
8.5
118.3
0.4
241.9
35.0
31.6
84
629
20.0
2.9
17.1
67.0
0.1
92.1
167.2
61.9
84
630
20.0
5.9
14.2
111.4
2.7
37.4
104.6
23.5
84
631
20.0
9.3
10.6
79.9
2.1
171.4
39.6
35.0
84
632
19.9
3.9
16.0
87.2
4.5
63.4
101.6
31.4
84
633
19.9
4.4
15.5
126.1
1.5
85.4
78.3
97.2
84
634
19.9
11.2
8.7
74.5
0.7
183.0
42.5
16.7
84
635
19.9
9.1
10.8
109.9
0.2
83.4
38.2
41.2
84
636
19.8
3.0
16.8
107.4
0.6
74.7
144.6
27.1
84
637
19.8
4.9
14.9
90.8
1.1
130.1
93.5
138.9
84
638
19.7
9.5
10.3
91.1
0.5
173.9
63.9
35.2
84
639
19.7
9.4
10.3
100.7
0.8
41.9
70.6
27.9
84
640
19.6
3.8
15.8
70.2
0.1
63.4
102.0
20.3
84
641
19.4
11.6
7.9
80.5
3.2
192.2
34.5
25.1
84
642
19.4
2.0
17.4
88.8
1.0
68.4
143.5
40.7
84
643
19.4
9.9
9.5
107.4
2.5
239.6
42.2
77.5
84
644
19.4
7.9
11.5
83.2
0.2
185.6
53.4
16.8
84
645
19.4
7.0
12.3
111.8
0.3
247.0
35.0
146.5
84
646
19.3
5.5
13.7
89.0
0.1
123.8
173.6
66.5
84
647
19.2
1.6
17.6
69.7
0.3
41.0
77.9
31.4
84
648
19.2
3.7
15.5
72.2
1.0
128.4
111.9
57.4
84
649
19.2
6.3
12.9
86.4
0.5
67.7
119.5
15.3
84
650
19.2
10.2
9.0
119.0
6.1
99.7
52.7
44.8
84

No consistency figure for points: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that points is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-03.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency