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Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked league-wide by points. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

912 skaters · sorted by points · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
551
22.5
4.5
18.0
79.4
0.2
139.1
139.9
26.2
84
552
22.4
4.5
17.9
111.1
0.2
93.1
42.5
17.8
84
553
22.4
7.0
15.3
98.7
0.2
145.3
158.2
40.3
84
554
22.4
3.6
18.7
139.4
2.0
47.1
73.2
43.2
84
555
22.3
4.6
17.8
93.1
4.6
91.1
145.0
43.1
84
556
22.3
6.4
15.9
89.7
0.8
128.3
98.3
139.2
84
557
22.3
2.6
19.7
66.2
1.5
95.2
24.0
41.8
84
558
22.2
8.6
13.7
105.0
2.1
68.4
43.5
25.4
84
559
22.2
2.1
20.1
89.9
0.2
45.1
72.2
37.7
84
560
22.2
7.0
15.2
88.3
2.3
67.6
37.5
25.2
84
561
22.2
11.0
11.2
100.9
0.1
151.6
92.2
32.5
84
562
22.0
10.7
11.2
97.0
0.7
234.2
61.9
137.4
84
563
21.9
8.5
13.4
117.5
1.1
120.9
38.0
113.4
84
564
21.8
5.6
16.2
83.7
2.5
26.4
62.4
17.6
84
565
21.7
13.8
7.9
95.5
1.5
116.7
54.5
9.5
84
566
21.6
7.6
14.0
107.0
0.2
137.8
48.9
46.2
84
567
21.5
5.3
16.2
71.0
0.1
125.1
63.8
31.4
84
568
21.5
8.2
13.3
85.7
1.0
275.6
57.1
89.7
84
569
21.5
11.0
10.5
105.4
0.2
144.2
27.1
28.1
84
570
21.5
8.8
12.7
99.8
2.6
12.6
38.0
38.4
84
571
21.5
9.1
12.4
81.1
0.2
118.2
40.8
22.9
84
572
21.4
3.4
18.0
62.2
0.8
34.3
99.2
15.6
84
573
21.4
3.8
17.6
102.0
1.5
116.9
120.8
32.1
84
574
21.4
2.4
18.9
67.9
0.3
118.1
94.7
20.4
84
575
21.4
7.4
14.0
79.8
3.1
111.1
61.6
53.9
84
576
21.4
3.5
17.9
98.3
1.6
54.0
78.6
36.6
84
577
21.4
5.6
15.8
120.4
0.5
53.9
42.3
35.9
84
578
21.4
7.8
13.5
100.8
0.2
254.4
26.3
25.8
84
579
21.3
2.8
18.5
66.5
0.4
109.1
94.3
39.8
84
580
21.3
7.1
14.2
111.2
0.6
45.6
92.3
29.6
84
581
21.3
7.7
13.5
100.8
0.2
341.6
38.9
44.8
84
582
21.2
8.4
12.8
97.6
1.6
90.3
55.5
22.6
84
583
21.2
7.1
14.1
93.2
0.2
123.7
92.0
43.6
84
584
21.2
3.3
17.9
126.4
0.4
84.0
130.0
47.6
84
585
21.1
4.9
16.2
113.5
0.1
61.8
83.3
36.9
84
586
21.1
9.5
11.6
85.9
2.7
138.7
36.7
12.7
84
587
21.1
2.5
18.6
111.5
0.4
98.2
73.7
83.5
84
588
21.1
9.8
11.3
111.7
12.5
40.4
69.1
20.2
84
589
21.1
3.7
17.4
66.6
1.4
43.0
97.5
19.7
84
590
21.1
9.6
11.5
78.5
0.1
294.6
67.3
61.5
84
591
21.0
8.1
12.8
82.2
0.1
56.6
62.2
34.3
84
592
20.9
8.6
12.3
95.0
0.9
167.2
56.5
66.1
84
593
20.9
6.5
14.5
99.7
6.6
106.6
64.3
49.2
84
594
20.9
5.6
15.3
107.4
1.1
64.5
96.9
34.3
84
595
20.9
11.7
9.2
103.7
1.0
72.5
54.6
19.9
84
596
20.9
10.4
10.5
104.5
0.1
221.2
26.6
19.9
84
597
20.8
3.9
16.9
86.5
1.7
168.7
24.8
29.2
84
598
20.8
0.8
20.0
69.4
0.5
184.7
99.9
38.3
84
599
20.8
6.1
14.6
95.0
8.4
32.7
27.9
23.6
84
600
20.8
9.8
10.9
89.1
0.2
102.6
22.7
24.7
84

No consistency figure for points: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that points is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-03.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency