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Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked by shots on goal. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

589 forwards · sorted by shots on goal · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
501
14.0
6.6
7.4
79.2
0.1
184.4
60.4
82.8
84
502
15.0
5.2
9.8
78.9
1.2
99.3
44.4
6.1
84
503
13.3
5.1
8.2
78.6
0.2
109.0
37.4
32.8
84
504
18.1
7.5
10.6
78.6
0.8
161.7
39.5
42.9
84
505
21.1
9.6
11.5
78.5
0.1
294.6
67.3
61.5
84
506
16.3
6.4
9.8
78.5
1.2
102.5
60.7
38.1
84
507
15.6
6.6
9.0
77.4
0.9
168.4
40.1
43.9
84
508
15.0
6.3
8.7
76.9
0.1
263.9
77.5
36.4
84
509
12.8
5.8
7.1
76.2
0.6
103.0
41.1
20.8
84
510
14.6
6.2
8.4
76.2
1.1
183.3
45.9
24.7
84
511
12.6
6.0
6.6
76.1
3.1
178.2
34.4
33.3
84
512
13.9
6.0
7.9
75.7
0.2
230.7
42.7
82.4
84
513
14.1
6.5
7.6
74.8
0.1
316.0
72.4
88.4
84
514
17.1
10.7
6.4
74.5
0.5
151.8
43.6
29.6
84
515
19.9
11.2
8.7
74.5
0.7
183.0
42.5
16.7
84
516
13.8
6.2
7.5
74.4
0.3
241.1
37.3
134.0
84
517
14.5
8.0
6.5
74.2
0.8
43.7
68.1
10.1
84
518
9.9
5.6
4.3
73.8
0.3
189.7
47.4
44.9
84
519
18.5
12.3
6.2
73.6
8.9
125.3
29.1
27.8
84
520
17.0
9.9
7.0
73.4
0.8
202.3
34.0
49.1
84
521
14.3
6.4
7.8
73.2
0.2
152.6
69.0
76.1
84
522
33.5
8.9
24.7
73.0
1.2
110.6
52.0
84.6
84
523
12.8
5.1
7.7
72.8
0.2
190.1
44.1
39.3
84
524
14.7
10.4
4.2
72.8
0.3
185.2
55.4
29.6
84
525
19.0
7.5
11.5
72.4
0.1
281.4
46.0
55.8
84
526
13.6
7.9
5.7
72.3
0.2
154.8
53.9
21.2
84
527
24.1
10.8
13.3
72.2
3.3
132.2
41.9
33.9
84
528
27.3
8.5
18.8
71.9
4.8
108.8
50.2
41.2
84
529
10.3
2.8
7.5
71.8
0.4
103.6
44.4
88.7
84
530
25.6
8.6
17.0
71.7
0.6
294.0
42.5
43.0
84
531
15.3
7.5
7.8
71.2
0.6
167.2
41.1
8.2
84
532
15.4
6.1
9.3
71.2
0.4
56.2
44.2
12.3
84
533
21.5
5.3
16.2
71.0
0.1
125.1
63.8
31.4
84
534
20.4
11.9
8.5
70.9
0.2
181.2
22.5
35.7
84
535
13.3
5.5
7.8
70.8
2.3
75.7
39.6
16.3
84
536
12.7
6.4
6.3
70.1
1.5
47.4
53.6
9.3
84
537
18.6
9.1
9.5
69.8
0.3
99.4
33.7
5.4
84
538
8.8
4.9
3.9
69.7
0.7
137.9
50.0
25.3
84
539
15.4
3.8
11.6
69.6
1.0
129.4
33.9
41.1
84
540
15.0
6.3
8.7
68.4
0.2
92.9
73.0
47.0
84
541
27.6
11.6
16.0
68.3
1.3
65.6
46.6
19.6
84
542
16.8
5.7
11.1
68.1
0.6
49.7
54.2
7.1
84
543
13.4
3.5
9.9
67.8
0.3
221.2
56.5
28.5
84
544
16.1
4.4
11.7
66.9
0.7
141.2
42.3
21.5
84
545
14.7
7.4
7.3
66.9
0.2
142.0
25.1
38.7
84
546
22.3
2.6
19.7
66.2
1.5
95.2
24.0
41.8
84
547
16.0
7.7
8.3
65.5
4.6
31.1
19.4
18.9
84
548
24.6
6.9
17.8
65.3
2.3
58.9
31.0
27.9
84
549
13.9
6.5
7.4
64.6
0.2
191.7
46.1
26.3
84
550
12.9
5.5
7.5
64.5
1.8
61.9
29.8
43.6
84

No consistency figure for shots on goal: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that shots on goal is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-02.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency