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Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked by assists. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

287 centres · sorted by assists · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
101
47.6
24.0
23.6
173.0
5.5
101.0
65.1
39.8
84
102
40.1
16.5
23.6
108.0
3.4
151.4
62.4
12.8
84
103
46.6
23.0
23.6
184.9
9.0
73.2
27.3
23.7
84
104
42.3
18.8
23.5
147.8
14.5
65.8
49.4
26.3
84
105
37.3
14.2
23.1
106.0
1.8
53.6
92.2
15.4
84
106
33.5
10.7
22.9
86.7
1.3
168.0
36.8
75.7
84
107
34.8
12.0
22.8
87.3
3.0
101.8
31.8
36.6
84
108
31.5
8.7
22.8
100.7
1.3
35.9
35.0
29.6
84
109
29.9
7.3
22.6
99.9
7.1
44.3
21.4
35.5
84
110
36.5
13.9
22.6
115.0
2.5
160.9
64.2
36.7
84
111
35.8
13.8
22.1
134.0
5.0
127.8
55.3
79.7
84
112
41.9
20.2
21.7
156.3
6.6
49.8
33.9
16.6
84
113
37.6
16.0
21.6
118.6
7.2
31.6
42.2
18.8
84
114
37.6
16.4
21.3
116.5
3.3
105.2
43.6
37.2
84
115
36.2
15.0
21.2
157.5
9.8
44.6
40.7
58.7
84
116
31.4
10.1
21.2
92.8
1.9
83.7
32.9
31.6
84
117
37.2
16.0
21.2
106.8
9.0
57.7
66.8
14.1
84
118
30.4
9.7
20.7
84.3
6.4
96.9
33.0
32.0
84
119
32.6
11.9
20.7
90.0
0.2
117.4
63.3
34.3
84
120
34.8
14.2
20.7
107.1
3.9
98.2
48.7
38.7
84
121
35.1
14.4
20.6
120.2
4.5
85.7
25.8
43.3
84
122
36.4
16.0
20.4
106.2
13.0
30.7
44.8
26.6
84
123
40.6
20.5
20.1
154.5
6.9
40.2
50.8
28.7
84
124
32.8
12.7
20.1
96.8
2.9
74.8
67.1
33.8
84
125
39.3
19.3
20.0
132.3
4.5
57.0
36.3
22.3
84
126
31.3
11.4
19.9
97.6
8.4
85.2
25.3
7.8
84
127
38.7
18.9
19.8
147.4
5.3
91.4
21.1
48.4
84
128
28.0
8.2
19.8
115.2
4.8
95.1
54.4
47.3
84
129
31.9
12.3
19.6
112.1
8.9
19.6
35.3
41.3
84
130
24.8
5.3
19.5
86.7
4.4
71.1
23.1
9.3
84
131
38.6
19.3
19.3
126.3
3.9
210.6
50.2
33.4
84
132
30.9
11.7
19.3
106.4
0.9
116.9
46.3
40.9
84
133
31.2
12.0
19.2
105.2
0.7
188.7
61.0
44.6
84
134
34.7
15.5
19.2
134.4
8.8
47.1
27.1
24.7
84
135
35.9
16.7
19.2
140.4
6.5
19.1
39.3
24.6
84
136
32.2
13.1
19.1
105.9
5.0
46.6
63.8
12.0
84
137
37.9
19.0
18.9
154.9
8.6
23.2
36.1
12.3
84
138
27.3
8.5
18.8
71.9
4.8
108.8
50.2
41.2
84
139
26.0
7.3
18.8
95.6
0.4
158.6
26.0
19.5
84
140
28.3
9.5
18.7
112.3
2.6
98.7
34.4
39.3
84
141
27.0
8.3
18.7
84.4
0.5
127.1
41.1
14.8
84
142
30.5
11.8
18.7
109.5
4.0
50.1
40.2
14.3
84
143
33.2
14.6
18.6
166.8
3.2
195.9
38.2
33.7
84
144
28.3
9.8
18.4
80.0
5.5
122.3
49.0
42.0
84
145
35.7
17.3
18.4
139.8
4.3
88.8
28.7
23.1
84
146
30.3
11.9
18.4
104.3
6.2
105.6
50.8
43.4
84
147
35.5
17.1
18.4
161.3
10.1
42.0
64.9
18.8
84
148
39.2
21.0
18.1
124.8
5.1
93.5
38.1
32.6
84
149
22.4
4.5
17.9
111.1
0.2
93.1
42.5
17.8
84
150
24.6
6.9
17.8
65.3
2.3
58.9
31.0
27.9
84

No consistency figure for assists: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that assists is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-02.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency