Skip to content

Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked by assists. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

287 centres · sorted by assists · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
201
14.8
1.8
13.0
51.7
0.3
71.1
32.0
20.3
84
202
17.0
4.1
12.9
89.1
2.4
47.5
73.7
23.7
84
203
21.0
8.1
12.8
82.2
0.1
56.6
62.2
34.3
84
204
21.5
8.8
12.7
99.8
2.6
12.6
38.0
38.4
84
205
31.9
19.3
12.6
164.3
0.3
59.9
56.3
24.8
84
206
23.3
10.8
12.5
159.4
3.4
111.8
29.9
64.6
84
207
21.5
9.1
12.4
81.1
0.2
118.2
40.8
22.9
84
208
20.2
7.9
12.3
84.8
0.7
204.1
21.2
29.6
84
209
19.1
6.8
12.3
82.9
1.1
72.6
35.6
13.8
84
210
23.6
11.4
12.3
112.7
0.3
157.1
46.8
30.5
84
211
21.6
9.4
12.2
88.0
3.4
76.1
27.9
22.5
84
212
18.8
6.6
12.2
87.6
0.6
129.2
38.6
34.5
84
213
27.1
15.0
12.0
102.8
7.8
66.8
29.6
33.3
84
214
18.3
6.3
12.0
86.2
2.2
293.7
39.4
65.1
84
215
20.4
8.4
12.0
80.6
0.7
166.9
33.5
15.3
84
216
18.2
6.4
11.8
96.3
0.4
143.4
58.6
35.4
84
217
15.4
3.8
11.6
69.6
1.0
129.4
33.9
41.1
84
218
19.4
7.9
11.5
83.2
0.2
185.6
53.4
16.8
84
219
18.2
6.7
11.5
81.7
0.1
87.9
41.0
21.0
84
220
20.2
8.8
11.4
111.0
0.1
200.5
76.3
95.0
84
221
17.1
5.8
11.3
48.5
0.5
139.4
50.3
21.0
84
222
17.3
6.0
11.2
87.5
0.2
207.7
56.2
31.9
84
223
22.2
11.0
11.2
100.9
0.1
151.6
92.2
32.5
84
224
16.8
5.7
11.1
68.1
0.6
49.7
54.2
7.1
84
225
13.4
2.4
11.0
85.2
1.4
143.2
18.5
76.8
84
226
20.8
9.8
10.9
89.1
0.2
102.6
22.7
24.7
84
227
20.1
9.2
10.9
94.0
0.3
56.9
24.0
12.9
84
228
23.0
12.2
10.8
132.1
1.6
145.4
44.3
41.5
84
229
19.9
9.1
10.8
109.9
0.2
83.4
38.2
41.2
84
230
15.8
5.1
10.7
49.0
0.1
36.1
43.8
11.0
84
231
20.0
9.3
10.6
79.9
2.1
171.4
39.6
35.0
84
232
20.7
10.4
10.3
83.2
1.6
65.5
23.0
15.1
84
233
26.6
16.4
10.3
82.2
1.2
40.3
46.8
30.1
84
234
19.7
9.5
10.3
91.1
0.5
173.9
63.9
35.2
84
235
21.1
10.9
10.2
97.2
0.7
233.9
61.6
133.6
84
236
16.3
6.4
9.8
78.5
1.2
102.5
60.7
38.1
84
237
18.6
8.9
9.7
88.0
0.3
138.8
40.0
79.1
84
238
12.1
2.5
9.6
57.0
0.4
205.7
39.9
73.6
84
239
18.6
9.1
9.5
69.8
0.3
99.4
33.7
5.4
84
240
17.7
8.2
9.4
79.7
1.0
131.6
43.4
25.7
84
241
15.4
6.1
9.3
71.2
0.4
56.2
44.2
12.3
84
242
17.6
8.5
9.1
36.1
0.5
85.2
39.8
27.9
84
243
18.7
9.7
9.1
83.6
0.6
195.4
44.0
18.7
84
244
16.4
7.6
8.8
93.4
0.3
200.4
51.3
36.3
84
245
18.5
9.7
8.8
102.5
1.1
220.9
36.4
68.7
84
246
15.0
6.3
8.7
68.4
0.2
92.9
73.0
47.0
84
247
17.8
9.1
8.7
95.5
1.3
182.9
70.3
69.7
84
248
13.6
5.0
8.6
58.2
0.9
192.0
70.5
5.2
84
249
18.5
10.0
8.5
129.9
1.5
142.9
51.3
30.4
84
250
14.8
6.3
8.5
77.2
1.1
185.8
46.5
22.7
84

No consistency figure for assists: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that assists is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-02.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency