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Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked by shots on goal. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

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PTS PointsG GoalsA AssistsSOG Shots on goalPPP Power-play pointsHIT HitsBLK Blocked shotsPIM Penalty minutes
View
Average weekFull-season pace
Position
AllF ForwardsC CentresLW Left wingsRW Right wingsD Defencemen
How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

589 forwards · sorted by shots on goal · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
201
Morgan FrostCGY · C
42.3
18.8
23.5
147.8
14.5
65.8
49.4
26.3
84
202
Ryan DonatoCHI · C
38.7
18.9
19.8
147.4
5.3
91.4
21.1
48.4
84
203
Lawson CrouseUTA · L
40.2
22.0
18.2
147.2
3.8
222.5
53.0
43.2
84
204
Anthony ManthaNJD · R
56.2
28.3
27.9
146.7
10.7
69.8
40.8
53.8
84
205
Josh NorrisBUF · C
54.1
25.4
28.7
145.6
16.3
121.8
55.2
52.1
84
206
Nino NiederreiterWPG · R
33.8
16.1
17.7
145.2
7.8
132.6
34.4
29.3
84
207
Pavel ZachaBOS · C
59.7
23.8
35.9
143.9
16.7
78.5
28.1
25.4
84
208
Michael CarconeUTA · L
34.1
18.2
15.9
143.8
3.5
139.4
19.2
32.5
84
209
Fabian LysellCOL · R12 sample
25.4
8.8
16.5
143.6
7.3
52.1
27.8
41.7
84
210
Marco KasperDET · C
26.5
13.0
13.5
142.8
2.9
184.3
52.9
35.2
84
211
Brendan GallagherVAN · R
29.9
13.0
16.9
142.8
5.8
101.1
29.6
49.2
84
212
Erik HaulaLAK · L
37.0
14.5
22.5
142.2
8.7
121.5
49.9
58.6
84
213
Pavol RegendaSJS · L
32.7
27.4
5.3
142.1
12.2
188.9
30.5
63.6
84
214
Zach BensonBUF · L
46.8
16.0
30.8
141.8
5.9
54.3
34.2
89.3
84
215
David PerronDET · L
41.1
18.9
22.2
141.7
13.5
121.7
27.0
48.7
84
216
Ilya MikheyevTBL · R
38.2
18.8
19.4
140.9
0.5
39.0
23.7
16.6
84
217
Brandon SaadVGK · L
29.8
13.1
16.7
140.7
2.8
22.3
25.7
16.9
84
218
Matt SavoieEDM · C
35.9
16.7
19.2
140.4
6.5
19.1
39.3
24.6
84
219
Mavrik BourqueNSH · C
35.7
17.3
18.4
139.8
4.3
88.8
28.7
23.1
84
220
Nicholas RobertsonPIT · L
34.8
19.9
14.9
139.7
3.7
81.1
40.4
16.8
84
221
Brayden SchennNYI · C
46.2
19.2
27.0
138.5
9.7
187.3
47.5
72.6
84
222
Scott LaughtonLAK · C
29.9
14.3
15.6
138.2
2.5
173.9
57.8
42.7
84
223
Pierre EngvallNYI · L
27.4
12.6
14.8
137.9
3.4
55.7
18.3
24.7
84
224
Miles WoodCBJ · L
23.4
11.9
11.4
137.2
0.5
111.0
32.3
66.3
84
225
Reilly SmithVGK · R
38.3
17.2
21.1
136.9
4.5
52.8
28.8
15.8
84
226
Charlie CoyleCBJ · C
53.0
19.1
33.8
136.2
11.1
121.4
59.7
23.0
84
227
Stefan NoesenNJD · R
32.1
15.3
16.8
136.2
11.5
123.6
28.6
60.3
84
228
Christian DvorakPHI · C
43.0
15.1
27.9
136.1
3.8
52.3
64.3
28.2
84
229
Trey Fix-WolanskyVAN · R26 sample
25.8
13.8
11.9
135.9
2.7
94.4
59.0
19.8
84
230
Drew O'ConnorVAN · L
29.1
14.5
14.6
135.9
0.6
80.7
42.2
38.4
84
231
Vasily PodkolzinEDM · R
37.5
18.4
19.1
135.6
4.9
248.8
48.8
57.5
84
232
Connor ZaryCGY · C
34.7
15.5
19.2
134.4
8.8
47.1
27.1
24.7
84
233
Igor ChernyshovSJS · L29 sample
52.3
24.5
27.8
134.3
13.6
51.1
43.7
18.3
84
234
Nick PaulTOR · L
34.3
17.3
16.9
134.2
5.4
119.7
41.9
45.1
84
235
Ridly GreigOTT · C
35.8
13.8
22.1
134.0
5.0
127.8
55.3
79.7
84
236
Marco RossiVAN · C
58.4
25.0
33.4
133.4
17.9
66.6
43.8
30.0
84
237
Jamie BennDAL · L
50.2
18.8
31.5
133.3
12.4
130.5
42.5
72.5
84
238
Alex FormentonEDM · L
37.8
11.3
26.5
132.9
1.5
159.6
39.5
35.8
84
239
Ivan BarbashevVGK · L
57.8
22.4
35.4
132.3
4.8
188.4
40.2
22.9
84
240
Pius SuterSTL · C
39.3
19.3
20.0
132.3
4.5
57.0
36.3
22.3
84
241
Ivan DemidovMTL · R
57.2
17.7
39.5
132.1
20.3
46.0
29.1
34.8
84
242
Kent JohnsonCBJ · C
39.0
14.2
24.8
132.1
7.0
14.7
38.6
23.3
84
243
Nick BjugstadNJD · C
23.0
12.2
10.8
132.1
1.6
145.4
44.3
41.5
84
244
Avery HayesPIT · R16 sample
27.6
24.9
2.7
131.5
0.9
118.8
49.7
60.5
84
245
Tommy NovakPIT · C
43.0
16.9
26.1
131.4
10.0
15.6
36.7
17.3
84
246
Vinni LettieriTOR · C
18.5
10.0
8.5
129.9
1.5
142.9
51.3
30.4
84
247
Cody GlassNJD · C
29.7
16.7
13.1
129.8
3.0
61.3
46.1
36.8
84
248
Jordan MartinookCAR · L
32.3
12.9
19.4
129.6
0.1
121.3
52.0
37.7
84
249
Philip TomasinoOTT · R
32.1
12.3
19.8
129.5
9.0
76.2
39.6
18.5
84
250
Rutger McGroartyPIT · R32 sample
23.6
10.8
12.8
127.9
0.6
96.5
34.0
13.9
84

No consistency figure for shots on goal: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that shots on goal is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-02.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency