Skip to content

Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked by assists. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

589 forwards · sorted by assists · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
301
44.1
26.4
17.7
159.0
1.0
106.0
42.7
4.8
84
302
33.8
16.1
17.7
145.2
7.8
132.6
34.4
29.3
84
303
34.0
16.4
17.6
112.3
6.7
130.1
53.5
66.8
84
304
30.9
13.3
17.6
123.2
8.2
133.5
42.6
7.0
84
305
29.6
12.0
17.6
123.3
5.7
73.2
89.2
22.9
84
306
34.4
16.9
17.5
117.6
3.0
152.1
50.2
18.2
84
307
36.1
18.6
17.5
185.8
4.7
35.9
29.5
30.5
84
308
22.9
5.5
17.4
114.8
2.2
310.9
26.7
93.2
84
309
36.5
19.2
17.3
122.0
12.0
51.1
24.8
77.7
84
310
23.6
6.3
17.3
90.0
0.5
69.9
43.6
29.6
84
311
31.3
14.0
17.3
124.9
6.9
98.8
61.9
16.9
84
312
30.3
13.1
17.2
125.7
3.3
104.9
29.3
29.9
84
313
33.6
16.5
17.2
90.8
2.6
86.8
28.9
25.3
84
314
32.2
15.0
17.2
150.0
6.4
70.6
22.0
18.1
84
315
25.6
8.6
17.0
71.7
0.6
294.0
42.5
43.0
84
316
36.1
19.1
17.0
201.3
6.7
148.3
62.6
73.5
84
317
42.7
25.7
17.0
189.4
5.6
175.1
27.8
46.4
84
318
29.9
13.0
16.9
142.8
5.8
101.1
29.6
49.2
84
319
34.3
17.3
16.9
134.2
5.4
119.7
41.9
45.1
84
320
20.8
3.9
16.9
86.5
1.7
168.7
24.8
29.2
84
321
26.8
9.9
16.9
94.4
1.3
85.3
37.0
15.0
84
322
32.1
15.3
16.8
136.2
11.5
123.6
28.6
60.3
84
323
27.7
10.9
16.8
101.4
0.9
292.5
48.9
83.6
84
324
29.8
13.1
16.7
140.7
2.8
22.3
25.7
16.9
84
325
30.8
14.2
16.6
113.6
4.7
51.1
41.6
11.8
84
326
29.8
13.2
16.6
85.1
4.8
135.4
47.4
40.4
84
327
25.4
8.8
16.5
143.6
7.3
52.1
27.8
41.7
84
328
28.4
11.8
16.5
99.2
1.4
92.0
46.2
28.8
84
329
27.7
11.2
16.5
85.5
0.5
85.3
46.3
38.6
84
330
21.8
5.4
16.4
70.8
0.1
125.7
62.3
31.8
84
331
26.3
10.0
16.3
110.7
3.1
35.6
47.9
20.7
84
332
28.1
11.8
16.2
69.4
1.3
66.7
47.3
19.9
84
333
24.0
7.8
16.2
90.6
10.2
14.2
35.1
23.2
84
334
21.8
5.6
16.2
83.7
2.5
26.4
62.4
17.6
84
335
26.5
10.3
16.1
106.5
1.6
52.5
53.1
32.8
84
336
27.9
11.9
15.9
115.4
1.1
148.1
62.7
28.5
84
337
34.1
18.2
15.9
143.8
3.5
139.4
19.2
32.5
84
338
25.0
9.2
15.9
87.4
2.0
30.1
39.1
16.2
84
339
31.4
15.6
15.8
124.2
5.7
129.3
43.2
48.6
84
340
21.4
5.6
15.8
120.4
0.5
53.9
42.3
35.9
84
341
20.5
4.7
15.8
102.9
2.7
85.2
37.5
56.8
84
342
28.0
12.3
15.7
90.2
2.9
229.5
38.6
32.5
84
343
25.2
9.5
15.7
105.0
1.4
109.8
37.6
44.1
84
344
29.3
13.7
15.7
105.1
2.4
87.6
35.4
49.2
84
345
22.2
6.5
15.6
95.7
8.9
29.3
29.8
13.9
84
346
29.9
14.3
15.6
138.2
2.5
173.9
57.8
42.7
84
347
29.6
14.0
15.6
164.5
9.8
50.1
19.2
21.7
84
348
24.7
9.2
15.6
107.1
0.7
82.0
52.2
3.8
84
349
31.4
15.8
15.6
116.8
5.2
67.4
60.4
24.3
84
350
30.6
15.1
15.5
115.0
1.9
113.8
28.5
14.5
84

No consistency figure for assists: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that assists is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-02.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency