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Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked by shots on goal. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

589 forwards · sorted by shots on goal · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
251
41.3
12.3
29.0
127.3
7.8
43.1
32.7
102.8
84
252
45.5
16.0
29.4
127.2
9.5
54.2
27.6
14.4
84
253
59.7
19.4
40.3
126.9
18.9
46.8
75.4
11.4
84
254
38.6
19.3
19.3
126.3
3.9
210.6
50.2
33.4
84
255
38.1
16.0
22.2
126.0
4.8
31.3
39.9
18.2
84
256
41.9
16.1
25.8
126.0
6.7
100.2
55.3
28.0
84
257
33.7
15.5
18.2
125.7
2.2
139.3
29.5
28.9
84
258
40.3
13.5
26.8
125.7
6.6
47.5
29.5
67.9
84
259
30.3
13.1
17.2
125.7
3.3
104.9
29.3
29.9
84
260
31.3
14.0
17.3
124.9
6.9
98.8
61.9
16.9
84
261
29.5
17.2
12.3
124.9
0.7
175.3
46.8
102.3
84
262
39.2
21.0
18.1
124.8
5.1
93.5
38.1
32.6
84
263
31.4
15.6
15.8
124.2
5.7
129.3
43.2
48.6
84
264
39.2
17.3
22.0
124.0
9.7
30.5
28.5
21.5
84
265
29.6
12.0
17.6
123.3
5.7
73.2
89.2
22.9
84
266
30.9
13.3
17.6
123.2
8.2
133.5
42.6
7.0
84
267
25.2
13.6
11.6
122.6
8.1
62.3
50.0
22.8
84
268
36.5
19.2
17.3
122.0
12.0
51.1
24.8
77.7
84
269
10.1
1.8
8.3
121.7
1.0
238.7
24.4
15.6
84
270
34.3
10.2
24.2
121.6
1.1
134.4
42.2
70.2
84
271
32.6
18.5
14.1
121.4
1.4
30.6
62.6
21.5
84
272
36.2
17.6
18.7
121.3
8.7
32.8
50.1
22.0
84
273
42.4
11.8
30.6
121.0
6.3
38.8
60.8
23.1
84
274
38.9
15.5
23.4
120.5
8.7
98.2
43.7
27.4
84
275
21.4
5.6
15.8
120.4
0.5
53.9
42.3
35.9
84
276
41.9
15.6
26.3
120.4
9.6
93.9
39.3
53.6
84
277
35.1
14.4
20.6
120.2
4.5
85.7
25.8
43.3
84
278
30.8
15.5
15.3
120.1
1.8
91.5
46.1
34.2
84
279
48.1
21.7
26.4
120.1
20.2
26.5
24.4
21.1
84
280
47.8
17.1
30.7
119.8
21.1
24.4
38.8
10.4
84
281
36.0
10.4
25.6
119.8
3.3
89.0
62.6
30.8
84
282
35.9
17.8
18.1
119.2
6.0
136.2
51.8
20.1
84
283
33.8
18.7
15.2
118.7
8.8
65.1
31.9
17.2
84
284
37.6
16.0
21.6
118.6
7.2
31.6
42.2
18.8
84
285
32.6
18.4
14.1
118.4
0.1
284.6
65.5
140.3
84
286
37.7
13.8
23.9
118.4
6.8
58.3
34.3
26.5
84
287
20.1
11.6
8.5
118.3
0.4
241.9
35.0
31.6
84
288
44.1
20.5
23.5
118.0
10.4
179.4
48.1
52.8
84
289
43.7
20.9
22.8
117.8
9.1
46.7
38.2
16.0
84
290
34.4
16.9
17.5
117.6
3.0
152.1
50.2
18.2
84
291
21.9
8.5
13.4
117.5
1.1
120.9
38.0
113.4
84
292
31.8
21.6
10.2
117.4
1.3
145.1
75.2
38.6
84
293
36.7
12.1
24.6
117.2
9.6
90.3
54.7
32.8
84
294
44.2
15.2
28.9
116.9
9.1
26.3
20.1
18.7
84
295
31.4
15.8
15.6
116.8
5.2
67.4
60.4
24.3
84
296
37.6
16.4
21.3
116.5
3.3
105.2
43.6
37.2
84
297
14.2
1.0
13.3
116.4
0.6
105.6
59.8
14.4
84
298
43.0
19.4
23.6
116.3
2.8
84.4
49.5
21.9
84
299
20.7
11.7
9.0
116.1
7.7
68.1
26.8
38.4
84
300
44.9
10.6
34.3
116.0
14.1
32.7
37.3
23.7
84

No consistency figure for shots on goal: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that shots on goal is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-02.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency