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Projections

Every headline stat per skater over the full 2026-27 regular season (Sep 29, 2026 – Apr 10, 2027), ranked by shots on goal. Each total assumes the skater plays every one of his team’s games.

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PTS PointsG GoalsA AssistsSOG Shots on goalPPP Power-play pointsHIT HitsBLK Blocked shotsPIM Penalty minutes
View
Average weekFull-season pace
Position
AllF ForwardsC CentresLW Left wingsRW Right wingsD Defencemen
How the shading works — a stronger shade means more, not better, and a skater on a thin sample is left plain

Each figure sits on a tile shaded by its share of that stat’s leading projection in this view, in five steps from zero to the leader. Hits and penalty minutes shade the way points do. The leader is the league’s, among skaters whose rate rests on at least 41 real games, so a shade means the same on every page and under every filter. A skater with fewer is left unshaded, his sample marked beside his name.

287 centres · sorted by shots on goal · assumes no games missed

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
HIT
BLK
PIM
101
Charlie CoyleCBJ · C
53.0
19.1
33.8
136.2
11.1
121.4
59.7
23.0
84
102
Christian DvorakPHI · C
43.0
15.1
27.9
136.1
3.8
52.3
64.3
28.2
84
103
Connor ZaryCGY · C
34.7
15.5
19.2
134.4
8.8
47.1
27.1
24.7
84
104
Ridly GreigOTT · C
35.8
13.8
22.1
134.0
5.0
127.8
55.3
79.7
84
105
Marco RossiVAN · C
58.4
25.0
33.4
133.4
17.9
66.6
43.8
30.0
84
106
Pius SuterSTL · C
39.3
19.3
20.0
132.3
4.5
57.0
36.3
22.3
84
107
Kent JohnsonCBJ · C
39.0
14.2
24.8
132.1
7.0
14.7
38.6
23.3
84
108
Nick BjugstadNJD · C
23.0
12.2
10.8
132.1
1.6
145.4
44.3
41.5
84
109
Tommy NovakPIT · C
43.0
16.9
26.1
131.4
10.0
15.6
36.7
17.3
84
110
Vinni LettieriTOR · C
18.5
10.0
8.5
129.9
1.5
142.9
51.3
30.4
84
111
Cody GlassNJD · C
29.7
16.7
13.1
129.8
3.0
61.3
46.1
36.8
84
112
Max DomiTOR · C
41.3
12.3
29.0
127.3
7.8
43.1
32.7
102.8
84
113
Anze KopitarLAK · C
59.7
19.4
40.3
126.9
18.9
46.8
75.4
11.4
84
114
Jordan StaalCAR · C
38.6
19.3
19.3
126.3
3.9
210.6
50.2
33.4
84
115
Ryan StromeCGY · C
40.3
13.5
26.8
125.7
6.6
47.5
29.5
67.9
84
116
Dillon DubeSTL · C
30.3
13.1
17.2
125.7
3.3
104.9
29.3
29.9
84
117
Alex NewhookMTL · C
39.2
21.0
18.1
124.8
5.1
93.5
38.1
32.6
84
118
Robby FabbriMIN · C
31.4
15.6
15.8
124.2
5.7
129.3
43.2
48.6
84
119
Adam HenriqueEDM · C
29.6
12.0
17.6
123.3
5.7
73.2
89.2
22.9
84
120
Emmitt FinnieDET · C
30.9
13.3
17.6
123.2
8.2
133.5
42.6
7.0
84
121
Yanni GourdeTBL · C
34.3
10.2
24.2
121.6
1.1
134.4
42.2
70.2
84
122
Oliver KapanenMTL · C
32.6
18.5
14.1
121.4
1.4
30.6
62.6
21.5
84
123
Andrew CoppDET · C
42.4
11.8
30.6
121.0
6.3
38.8
60.8
23.1
84
124
Linus KarlssonVAN · C
35.1
14.4
20.6
120.2
4.5
85.7
25.8
43.3
84
125
Teuvo TeravainenCHI · C
47.8
17.1
30.7
119.8
21.1
24.4
38.8
10.4
84
126
Phillip DanaultMTL · C
36.0
10.4
25.6
119.8
3.3
89.0
62.6
30.8
84
127
Michael MisaSJS · C
37.6
16.0
21.6
118.6
7.2
31.6
42.2
18.8
84
128
Philipp KurashevSJS · C
37.7
13.8
23.9
118.4
6.8
58.3
34.3
26.5
84
129
Fraser MintenBOS · C
34.4
16.9
17.5
117.6
3.0
152.1
50.2
18.2
84
130
Mason ShawMIN · C
21.9
8.5
13.4
117.5
1.1
120.9
38.0
113.4
84
131
Nick AbruzzeseTBL · C11 sample
36.7
12.1
24.6
117.2
9.6
90.3
54.7
32.8
84
132
Justin SourdifWSH · C
37.6
16.4
21.3
116.5
3.3
105.2
43.6
37.2
84
133
Hunter McKownMTL · C12 sample
28.0
8.2
19.8
115.2
4.8
95.1
54.4
47.3
84
134
Eetu LuostarinenFLA · C
36.5
13.9
22.6
115.0
2.5
160.9
64.2
36.7
84
135
Dominic JamesTBL · C
30.6
15.1
15.5
115.0
1.9
113.8
28.5
14.5
84
136
Martin PospisilCGY · C
22.9
5.5
17.4
114.8
2.2
310.9
26.7
93.2
84
137
Brett HowdenVGK · C
37.3
22.6
14.7
114.2
1.7
156.6
43.1
49.0
84
138
Morgan BarronWPG · C
23.6
11.4
12.3
112.7
0.3
157.1
46.8
30.5
84
139
Kirby DachMTL · C
34.0
16.4
17.6
112.3
6.7
130.1
53.5
66.8
84
140
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR · C
28.3
9.5
18.7
112.3
2.6
98.7
34.4
39.3
84
141
Jonathan ToewsWPG · C
31.9
12.3
19.6
112.1
8.9
19.6
35.3
41.3
84
142
Casey MittelstadtBOS · C
48.1
16.2
31.9
112.0
9.8
35.1
27.9
19.5
84
143
Ryan WintertonSEA · C
22.4
4.5
17.9
111.1
0.2
93.1
42.5
17.8
84
144
Michael McCarronMIN · C
20.2
8.8
11.4
111.0
0.1
200.5
76.3
95.0
84
145
Tyson JostNSH · C
19.9
9.1
10.8
109.9
0.2
83.4
38.2
41.2
84
146
Ryan GreeneCHI · C
30.5
11.8
18.7
109.5
4.0
50.1
40.2
14.3
84
147
Jonny BrodzinskiWSH · C
26.2
11.7
14.6
108.9
2.2
60.9
31.5
15.6
84
148
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI · C
40.1
16.5
23.6
108.0
3.4
151.4
62.4
12.8
84
149
Sean KuralyBOS · C
21.9
7.7
14.2
107.3
0.2
133.3
49.5
44.7
84
150
Nicolas RoyCOL · C
34.8
14.2
20.7
107.1
3.9
98.2
48.7
38.7
84

No consistency figure for shots on goal: it has not passed the check this site requires, which is not a finding that shots on goal is inconsistent.

Why there is no figure — a figure must repeat across a skater’s own games before it is shown

Before it shows a consistency figure, the site checks that the figure from a skater’s odd-numbered games agrees with the one from his even-numbered games, across skaters, more than chance would. That check withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and from here the two cannot be told apart. Sort by another stat to see the tag where it holds. Measured 2026-10-02.

How the projections are built — a rate over every season since 2021-22, recent games weighted more, times the club’s schedule

A skater’s rate is his per-game output over every season since 2021-22, each season weighted half as much as the one after it, and pulled a little toward the league rate so a handful of games cannot top the board. The weighting was chosen by testing which one best predicted the rest of a season from the games before it. A skater needs ten games to appear here.

Each total is that rate times his club’s scheduled games. A full-season pace counts every scheduled game, played or not.

Availability is not projected: Team games is the club’s schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

Scoring per dollar of cap hit has a board of its own: Cap efficiency