ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
851
Luke SchennVAN · D
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.8
0.0
10.5
3.7
2.5
3
852
Andreas EnglundCGY · D
0.3
0.1
0.3
1.6
0.0
7.0
3.0
3.3
3
853
Juho LammikkoNJD · C
0.3
0.1
0.3
2.1
0.0
4.8
1.8
0.5
3
854
Hayden HodgsonOTT · R19 sample
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.7
0.0
8.3
0.3
3.5
3
855
Jacob MoverareLAK · D
0.3
0.1
0.2
1.7
0.0
1.5
3.1
0.4
3
856
Raphael LavoieVGK · C17 sample
0.2
0.1
0.1
2.8
0.0
4.9
0.4
0.7
3
857
Zakhar BardakovCOL · C
0.5
0.1
0.5
1.8
0.0
2.5
1.1
0.7
3
858
David JiricekPHI · D
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.2
0.0
1.5
2.4
1.7
3
859
Kurtis MacDermidOTT · L
0.2
0.1
0.1
1.1
0.0
4.5
1.1
4.4
3
860
Noah JuulsenCOL · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
1.6
0.0
7.2
3.5
1.1
3
861
Urho VaakanainenNYR · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.5
0.0
1.4
2.8
1.1
3
862
Alexander AlexeyevPIT · D
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.1
0.0
3.6
4.4
0.7
3
863
Scott MorrowNYR · D
0.7
0.1
0.7
3.0
0.2
1.1
3.0
0.4
3
864
Jared DavidsonMTL · C10 sample
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.9
0.0
5.2
0.5
2.9
3
865
Sam DickinsonSJS · D
0.6
0.1
0.6
3.0
0.0
3.1
2.9
0.9
3
866
Juha JaaskaCAR · L18 sample
0.7
0.1
0.7
2.1
0.0
3.4
0.7
1.5
3
867
Matt GrzelcykCHI · D
0.8
0.0
0.8
3.2
0.2
1.6
3.0
1.2
3
868
Jaycob MegnaVGK · D
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.2
0.0
4.0
4.3
1.3
3
869
Steven SantiniTBL · D18 sample
0.3
0.0
0.3
1.4
0.0
2.5
2.1
0.6
3
870
Joel HanleyCGY · D
0.4
0.0
0.3
1.9
0.0
2.4
4.1
1.7
3
871
Jonas SiegenthalerNJD · D
0.6
0.0
0.5
2.6
0.0
3.8
5.1
1.9
3
872
Dennis GilbertBUF · D
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.2
0.0
6.0
3.8
3.2
3
873
Vincent DesharnaisWSH · D
0.3
0.0
0.3
1.8
0.0
5.5
4.8
3.2
3
874
Ilya LyubushkinNSH · D
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.9
0.0
4.4
5.1
1.8
3
875
Simon BenoitPHI · D
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.4
0.0
8.5
4.7
2.0
3
876
Lassi ThomsonOTT · D30 sample
0.8
0.0
0.8
3.1
0.2
1.9
2.6
0.2
3
877
Jack AhcanNSH · D22 sample
0.5
0.0
0.4
1.9
0.0
2.4
2.7
0.6
3
878
Taylor MakarCOL · L12 sample
0.1
0.0
0.1
2.0
0.0
4.2
0.4
1.0
3
879
Oscar Fisker MolgaardSEA · C13 sample
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.6
0.0
2.2
1.9
0.5
3
880
William LagessonDET · D
0.4
0.0
0.4
2.0
0.0
4.7
3.6
2.0
3
881
Jake ChristiansenCBJ · D
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.3
0.0
2.3
2.4
0.6
3
882
Ryan JohnsonBUF · D
0.4
0.0
0.4
2.3
0.0
1.1
3.0
1.4
3
883
Ville HeinolaVGK · D
0.3
0.0
0.2
3.0
0.0
2.2
2.3
1.3
3
884
Tyson HindsANA · D15 sample
0.3
0.0
0.2
2.2
0.0
4.5
3.0
0.5
3
885
Adam EngstromMTL · D15 sample
0.3
0.0
0.2
2.4
0.0
1.5
1.6
1.6
3
886
Nikolas MatinpaloOTT · D
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.4
0.0
2.6
3.1
1.1
3
887
Michael Brandsegg-NygårdDET · R14 sample
0.3
0.0
0.3
4.3
0.0
8.8
0.8
0.5
3
888
Dylan McIlrathWSH · D
0.2
0.0
0.2
1.5
0.0
6.2
2.3
3.5
3
889
Colton WhiteCBJ · D
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.9
0.0
2.9
2.1
0.4
3
890
Keaton MiddletonCOL · D
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.9
0.0
5.1
2.5
2.3
3
891
Alec RegulaEDM · D
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.0
0.0
1.7
4.5
3.5
3
892
Jack St. IvanyWPG · D
0.7
0.0
0.7
2.4
0.0
6.7
3.6
1.4
3
893
Vincent IorioNYR · D37 sample
0.4
0.0
0.3
1.8
0.0
1.7
4.1
1.2
3
894
Jared WrightLAK · R27 sample
0.5
0.0
0.5
4.1
0.0
3.8
2.1
0.5
3
895
Dmitri SimashevUTA · D28 sample
0.1
0.0
0.1
2.9
0.0
1.6
3.0
2.4
3
896
Daemon HuntMIN · D
0.6
0.0
0.5
1.8
0.0
2.2
4.1
0.5
3
897
Donovan SebrangoFLA · D
0.6
0.0
0.6
2.4
0.0
5.3
2.2
4.7
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.