ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
801
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.1
4.5
4.3
1.1
3
802
0.5
0.1
0.4
5.2
0.1
1.8
3.9
0.4
3
803
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.8
0.0
2.7
5.1
1.0
3
804
0.9
0.1
0.8
1.8
0.2
1.5
3.0
0.8
3
805
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.5
0.0
6.7
3.3
3.4
3
806
0.6
0.1
0.5
1.9
0.1
1.1
3.9
0.6
3
807
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.5
0.1
2.9
1.1
2.1
3
808
0.8
0.1
0.8
3.3
0.1
1.6
5.0
0.7
3
809
0.6
0.1
0.5
1.8
0.0
6.3
2.1
2.9
3
810
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.2
0.0
1.3
3.6
0.6
3
811
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.0
2.5
4.5
0.6
3
812
0.9
0.1
0.8
2.5
0.0
5.8
4.2
1.9
3
813
0.2
0.1
0.1
3.0
0.0
3.5
1.1
0.8
3
814
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.6
0.0
2.3
2.4
1.5
3
815
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.1
0.0
2.9
4.4
1.2
3
816
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.4
0.0
0.7
3.0
0.8
3
817
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.3
0.0
4.2
3.3
0.7
3
818
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.1
3.4
3.0
1.2
3
819
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.5
0.1
1.8
3.3
0.8
3
820
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.3
0.0
3.9
3.4
1.4
3
821
0.3
0.1
0.3
2.5
0.0
3.7
1.6
3.2
3
822
0.6
0.1
0.5
1.4
0.0
4.2
3.3
1.1
3
823
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.4
0.0
0.9
1.8
0.5
3
824
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.5
0.0
8.4
2.2
5.4
3
825
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.3
0.0
1.3
2.9
0.5
3
826
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.9
0.1
1.4
2.7
0.7
3
827
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.1
0.0
3.6
3.5
0.9
3
828
0.2
0.1
0.1
1.8
0.1
3.1
0.9
0.2
3
829
0.4
0.1
0.3
3.5
0.0
3.8
4.8
2.2
3
830
0.4
0.1
0.3
3.5
0.0
0.8
1.0
0.2
3
831
0.5
0.1
0.4
1.4
0.0
1.1
2.5
0.6
3
832
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.8
0.0
6.0
1.2
0.4
3
833
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.1
0.0
5.0
4.1
0.8
3
834
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.1
0.0
4.5
0.9
7.4
3
835
0.7
0.1
0.7
4.0
0.0
3.5
2.6
3.0
3
836
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.0
0.0
7.4
1.4
2.6
3
837
1.1
0.1
1.0
3.7
0.5
4.2
3.3
1.9
3
838
0.3
0.1
0.3
2.2
0.0
7.3
3.8
3.2
3
839
0.2
0.1
0.1
1.3
0.0
5.1
0.5
6.9
3
840
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.4
0.0
3.9
5.5
1.7
3
841
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.1
0.0
11.7
4.2
3.6
3
842
0.3
0.1
0.2
3.5
0.0
5.0
3.7
1.5
3
843
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.5
0.0
3.8
3.3
1.5
3
844
0.4
0.1
0.3
1.9
0.0
5.3
2.6
1.9
3
845
0.5
0.1
0.5
2.6
0.0
5.1
2.0
2.0
3
846
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.2
0.0
2.4
5.2
1.4
3
847
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.8
0.0
4.2
3.5
2.7
3
848
0.4
0.1
0.4
1.9
0.1
3.9
1.4
0.9
3
849
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.3
0.0
1.6
2.4
1.4
3
850
0.6
0.1
0.6
2.8
0.1
4.0
3.9
1.2
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.