Wed, Sep 16, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

VAN Vancouver Canucks

@EDMEdmonton Oilers

Last gameApr 16 · 9:00 PM ET

The model's read

a disagreement, not a correction

The model and the standings agree on VAN

In points

#32/32

what happened

By our rating

#32/32

xG-Elo, walk-forward

Gap

rank places

The rating is built from expected-goal margin, game by game, and never sees the standings. A gap means the chances a club generated and allowed point somewhere different from where its points did. Where the model disagrees most →

Record

82 games · regular season

W–L–OTL: 25 wins, 49 regulation losses, 8 overtime losses
Points: 58
Points rank: 32/32
Goal diff: −100

Strength rating

xG-Elo · walk-forward

Rating: 1437
League rank: 32/32
Games: 82

1500 is the baseline every club starts from and regresses toward between seasons, so above it is stronger than an average team and below it weaker. The rating is driven by model expected-goals margin rather than by results, which is why it can disagree with the standings — that disagreement is the reading at the top of this page.

Last 10 · results

LApr 16@EDM1–6

WApr 14vsLAK4–3OT

WApr 12@ANA4–3OT

WApr 11@SJS4–3SO

LApr 9@LAK1–4

LApr 7vsVGK1–2

LApr 4vsUTA4–7

LApr 2@MIN2–5

WApr 1@COL8–6

LMar 30@VGK2–4

Current roster · per-game rates

31 skaters · 3 goalies

Five-season recency-weighted per-game rates · Sample = the games each rate rests on

Forwards	#	P	G	A	SOG	Sample
Elias Pettersson	40	0.79	0.26	0.53	1.99	393
Brock Boeser	6	0.70	0.33	0.36	2.21	388
Marco Rossi	23	0.65	0.26	0.40	1.56	241
Jake DeBrusk	74	0.56	0.30	0.25	2.47	411
Filip Chytil	77	0.43	0.22	0.21	2.23	252
Linus Karlsson	94	0.41	0.18	0.23	1.42	108
Mackenzie MacEachern	20	0.39	0.09	0.29	0.75	38
Brendan Gallagher	7	0.36	0.16	0.21	1.73	337
Drew O'Connor	18	0.34	0.18	0.16	1.62	315
Max Sasson	63	0.28	0.18	0.10	0.96	95
Trey Fix-Wolansky	64	0.24	0.16	0.07	1.63	26
Liam Ohgren	92	0.26	0.11	0.14	1.28	97
Jonathan Lekkerimäki	88	0.24	0.14	0.10	1.00	37
Paul Cotter	47	0.24	0.14	0.10	0.98	301
Aatu Räty	54	0.24	0.09	0.14	1.00	114
Akil Thomas	—	0.18	0.09	0.09	0.86	32
Ty Mueller	39	0.14	0.14	0.00	0.36	8
Arshdeep Bains	13	0.15	0.04	0.11	0.63	49
Braeden Cootes	80	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3
Matthew Stienburg	36	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.50	8

Defence	#	P	G	A	SOG	Sample
Filip Hronek	17	0.57	0.09	0.48	1.63	379
Kirill Kudryavtsev	59	0.50	0.00	0.50	1.25	5
Zeev Buium	8	0.34	0.08	0.26	0.95	80
Jack Thompson	26	0.31	0.12	0.18	1.32	34
Tom Willander	5	0.30	0.07	0.23	0.84	70
Jamie Oleksiak	4	0.21	0.06	0.15	0.99	403
Victor Mancini	90	0.18	0.03	0.15	0.70	55
Guillaume Brisebois	55	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.78	21
Elias Pettersson	25	0.14	0.04	0.10	0.66	98
Luke Schenn	2	0.13	0.02	0.11	0.93	354
Jimmy Schuldt	48	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.50	8

Goalies	#	SV%	GA	SV	SA	TOI	Sample
Thatcher Demko	35	.9028	2.66	24.5	27.2	57:11	191
Kevin Lankinen	32	.8874	3.05	24.0	27.1	56:04	173
Nikita Tolopilo	60	.8815	3.20	23.8	27.0	53:59	23

How these rates are built — club is the player's current one; the rates span five seasons

Club membership is the NHL's current one, refreshed nightly — a player traded mid-season appears under the club he is with now, while the rates beside him span five seasons wherever he played them. Recency-weighted per-game averages; Sample is the games they rest on. Skaters are ordered by a rate shrunk toward the league average in proportion to how little a player has played, so a one-game sample does not out-rank a career — the figures shown are the unshrunk ones, and for anyone with a real sample the two are the same number. Save percentage is total saves over total shots, weighted — not the average of per-game save percentages, which would count a two-shot relief appearance as heavily as a forty-shot start.

Best cap efficiency · points per $1M

2026-27 cap · 2025-26 production

Zeev BuiumD76 gp$0.97M1 yrRFA2626.9

Tom WillanderD70 gp$0.97M2 yrsRFA2121.6

Liam OhgrenL69 gp$0.89M1 yrRFA1820.3

Max SassonC66 gp$1.00M2 yrsUFA1919.0

Aatu RätyC66 gp$0.85M1 yrRFA1416.5

A player measured against the season that earned his contract looks expensive, so recent signings sit low and entry-level deals sit high — by construction. All 32 clubs.

Markets · Apr 16 · modeled projections

0 SOG · sorted by projection

No SOG lines were captured for this game.