Wed, Sep 16, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

WPG Winnipeg Jets

vsSJSSan Jose Sharks

Last gameApr 16 · 8:00 PM ET

The model's read

a disagreement, not a correction

The model rates WPG higher than the standings do

In points

#26/32

what happened

By our rating

#21/32

xG-Elo, walk-forward

Gap

rank places

The rating is built from expected-goal margin, game by game, and never sees the standings. A gap means the chances a club generated and allowed point somewhere different from where its points did. Where the model disagrees most →

Record

82 games · regular season

W–L–OTL: 35 wins, 35 regulation losses, 12 overtime losses
Points: 82
Points rank: 26/32
Goal diff: −29

Strength rating

xG-Elo · walk-forward

Rating: 1494
League rank: 21/32
Games: 82

1500 is the baseline every club starts from and regresses toward between seasons, so above it is stronger than an average team and below it weaker. The rating is driven by model expected-goals margin rather than by results, which is why it can disagree with the standings — that disagreement is the reading at the top of this page.

Last 10 · results

LApr 16vsSJS1–6

LApr 14@UTA3–5

LApr 13@VGK2–6

LApr 11vsPHI1–7

WApr 9@STL3–2

WApr 6vsSEA6–2

WApr 4@CBJ2–1

LApr 2@DAL0–3

WMar 31@CHI4–3OT

WMar 28@COL4–2

Current roster · per-game rates

29 skaters · 3 goalies

Five-season recency-weighted per-game rates · Sample = the games each rate rests on

Forwards	#	P	G	A	SOG	Sample
Mark Scheifele	55	1.13	0.44	0.69	2.17	406
Kyle Connor	81	1.12	0.48	0.63	3.36	413
Gabriel Vilardi	13	0.81	0.36	0.45	1.90	309
Cole Perfetti	91	0.52	0.20	0.32	1.92	304
Nino Niederreiter	62	0.40	0.19	0.21	1.73	410
Alex Iafallo	9	0.37	0.17	0.20	1.49	412
Adam Lowry	17	0.37	0.14	0.23	1.25	408
Vladislav Namestnikov	7	0.36	0.14	0.22	1.24	397
Morgan Barron	36	0.28	0.14	0.14	1.34	334
Brad Lambert	93	0.24	0.11	0.14	1.01	31
Isak Rosen	27	0.25	0.14	0.11	0.96	52
Cole Koepke	45	0.24	0.12	0.12	1.24	165
Noah Gregor	73	0.21	0.10	0.11	1.37	274
Danil Zhilkin	53	0.17	0.00	0.17	0.67	6
Walker Duehr	71	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.80	95
Nikita Chibrikov	90	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.96	16
Rasmus Kupari	15	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.88	221
Brayden Yager	29	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.67	3
Parker Ford	25	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.67	18

Defence	#	P	G	A	SOG	Sample
Josh Morrissey	44	0.75	0.17	0.58	2.05	415
Neal Pionk	4	0.39	0.09	0.30	1.82	384
Dylan DeMelo	2	0.26	0.04	0.22	0.97	419
Mario Ferraro	38	0.25	0.07	0.18	1.15	373
Jack St. Ivany	6	0.23	0.00	0.23	0.78	53
Dylan Samberg	54	0.24	0.03	0.20	1.28	305
Henry Thrun	8	0.19	0.04	0.15	0.90	123
Isaak Phillips	3	0.17	0.04	0.13	0.97	59
Elias Salomonsson	57	0.16	0.03	0.13	1.16	32
Haydn Fleury	24	0.14	0.03	0.11	0.82	175

Goalies	#	SV%	GA	SV	SA	TOI	Sample
Connor Hellebuyck	37	.9066	2.58	25.0	27.6	59:25	333
Stuart Skinner	74	.8941	2.75	23.2	25.9	58:03	276
Thomas Milic	32	.8710	2.67	18.0	20.7	46:13	3

How these rates are built — club is the player's current one; the rates span five seasons

Club membership is the NHL's current one, refreshed nightly — a player traded mid-season appears under the club he is with now, while the rates beside him span five seasons wherever he played them. Recency-weighted per-game averages; Sample is the games they rest on. Skaters are ordered by a rate shrunk toward the league average in proportion to how little a player has played, so a one-game sample does not out-rank a career — the figures shown are the unshrunk ones, and for anyone with a real sample the two are the same number. Save percentage is total saves over total shots, weighted — not the average of per-game save percentages, which would count a two-shot relief appearance as heavily as a forty-shot start.

Best cap efficiency · points per $1M

2026-27 cap · 2025-26 production

Morgan BarronC65 gp$1.85M1 yrUFA2312.4

Mark ScheifeleC82 gp$8.50M5 yrsUFA10312.1

Cole KoepkeL66 gp$1.45M2 yrsUFA1711.7

Isak RosenR37 gp$0.93M2 yrsRFA1010.8

Noah GregorL37 gp$0.85M1 yrUFA910.6

A player measured against the season that earned his contract looks expensive, so recent signings sit low and entry-level deals sit high — by construction. All 32 clubs.

Markets · Apr 16 · modeled projections

0 SOG · sorted by projection

No SOG lines were captured for this game.