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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
701
Nolan AllanSJS · D
16.2
2.4
13.8
36.8
0.4
115.6
90.5
30.9
82
702
Sam DickinsonSJS · D
16.2
1.3
14.9
82.7
0.1
84.5
79.6
25.3
82
703
Riley TufteNJD · L28 sample
16.2
11.9
4.3
66.2
8.8
124.3
24.6
25.9
82
704
Ben ChiarotDET · D
16.1
5.0
11.2
109.1
0.4
159.3
157.9
69.7
82
705
Justin KirklandMIN · C
16.1
5.4
10.7
44.8
0.3
137.1
48.5
19.9
82
706
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL · C
16.1
7.5
8.6
92.1
0.3
195.6
50.6
35.9
82
707
Andrew PeekeUTA · D
16.1
3.8
12.3
85.8
0.1
124.0
148.2
30.2
82
708
Henry ThrunWPG · D
15.9
3.2
12.7
74.8
1.9
55.0
95.4
32.8
82
709
Dennis CholowskiNYR · D
15.9
3.5
12.4
63.0
2.3
14.6
75.4
15.8
82
710
Akil ThomasVAN · C32 sample
15.9
7.6
8.3
74.4
0.5
130.3
40.7
24.1
82
711
Isaak PhillipsWPG · D
15.8
4.1
11.7
82.5
0.5
119.4
69.9
45.4
82
712
Sampo RantaCOL · L16 sample
15.8
5.9
9.9
95.8
3.4
105.0
54.3
38.3
82
713
Donovan SebrangoFLA · D
15.8
0.3
15.4
64.5
0.2
145.8
61.2
127.6
82
714
Joakim KemellNSH · R18 sample
15.8
5.3
10.4
80.1
0.5
128.6
47.0
2.2
82
715
Cody CeciLAK · D
15.6
2.4
13.2
76.3
0.0
68.2
123.9
17.1
82
716
Jonas SiegenthalerNJD · D
15.6
1.2
14.4
70.5
0.1
103.9
138.3
50.6
82
717
Sheldon DriesDET · C
15.6
9.4
6.2
92.4
4.4
114.3
51.8
23.1
82
718
Nikita OkhotiukCGY · D
15.6
3.2
12.4
82.5
0.5
225.8
116.0
67.8
82
719
Adam ErneDAL · L
15.5
9.8
5.8
79.4
0.1
240.5
39.6
33.1
82
720
Tomas NosekFLA · L
15.5
4.2
11.3
64.6
0.6
138.3
41.0
20.8
82
721
Charles Alexis LegaultCAR · D12 sample
15.5
7.4
8.1
85.7
0.6
89.8
68.3
97.7
82
722
Jayden StrubleMTL · D
15.3
2.8
12.5
49.4
0.1
172.9
57.1
80.4
82
723
Caleb JonesPIT · D
15.3
2.7
12.6
77.5
1.8
122.5
118.2
30.1
82
724
Daemon HuntMIN · D
15.2
0.3
14.9
50.1
0.2
59.7
112.8
12.8
82
725
Oskar BäckDAL · C
15.2
4.9
10.4
47.2
0.1
34.7
42.6
10.5
82
726
Scott MayfieldNYI · D
15.2
2.8
12.4
75.6
0.1
93.6
113.0
70.6
82
727
Erik GudbransonCBJ · D
15.1
3.3
11.8
88.8
0.1
110.1
144.3
53.8
82
728
Isaiah GeorgeNYI · D37 sample
15.1
2.6
12.5
63.3
0.4
35.2
79.4
13.3
82
729
Victor ManciniVAN · D
15.1
2.4
12.7
58.9
1.2
97.7
95.8
25.3
82
730
Scott SabourinTBL · R39 sample
14.9
3.1
11.8
36.3
0.3
199.3
34.3
252.3
82
731
Isaac HowardEDM · L29 sample
14.9
5.9
9.0
102.8
0.3
22.5
15.9
34.1
82
732
Ivan IvanBOS · C
14.9
7.3
7.6
61.8
4.4
28.0
17.3
17.7
82
733
Connor CliftonBOS · D
14.9
3.0
11.9
69.9
0.1
252.0
127.1
71.3
82
734
Brendan SmithCBJ · D
14.8
3.1
11.7
72.5
0.1
114.8
84.3
76.9
82
735
Carson MeyerBUF · R
14.7
5.6
9.1
81.6
1.1
179.0
25.5
24.5
82
736
Beck MalenstynBUF · L
14.7
6.2
8.5
74.6
0.1
257.7
75.6
36.0
82
737
Joe VelenoNYR · C
14.6
6.2
8.4
76.0
1.1
178.9
40.7
22.7
82
738
Ilya LyubushkinNSH · D
14.6
1.2
13.4
52.8
0.1
120.5
138.5
49.3
82
739
Corey SchuenemanANA · D35 sample
14.6
4.5
10.1
98.6
2.5
48.3
127.0
15.0
82
740
Ethan CardwellSJS · R13 sample
14.6
12.4
2.1
75.2
0.7
106.1
24.8
26.0
82
741
Dylan CoghlanVGK · D
14.6
4.3
10.3
101.1
1.1
65.1
87.9
30.9
82
742
Guillaume BriseboisVAN · D21 sample
14.6
5.2
9.4
78.1
1.7
63.0
109.5
21.6
82
743
Dennis GilbertBUF · D
14.5
1.2
13.3
33.5
0.2
163.1
104.6
88.5
82
744
MacKenzie EntwistleFLA · R
14.5
6.2
8.3
73.7
0.6
166.6
38.1
43.0
82
745
Carson SoucyNYI · D
14.5
5.2
9.3
75.2
0.4
124.8
104.6
45.3
82
746
David GustafssonPIT · C
14.5
5.8
8.7
67.9
0.2
53.6
42.5
11.3
82
747
Dmitry KulikovFLA · D
14.5
3.3
11.2
75.4
0.1
149.1
86.3
49.2
82
748
Reid SchaeferNSH · L
14.4
10.5
3.9
69.3
0.2
186.6
52.6
29.9
82
749
Kevin KorchinskiCHI · D
14.4
3.8
10.6
77.7
3.7
25.5
82.6
27.0
82
750
Casey FitzgeraldFLA · D
14.4
2.0
12.4
70.4
1.2
138.4
55.3
53.5
82

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.