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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
651
Colin BlackwellDAL · C
18.2
6.4
11.8
85.2
0.5
126.3
37.5
33.6
82
652
Max JonesEDM · L
18.2
8.7
9.4
93.3
0.5
199.9
19.6
53.9
82
653
Mattias JanmarkEDM · C
18.2
4.7
13.5
60.0
0.1
45.6
30.4
37.4
82
654
Dante FabbroCBJ · D
18.2
6.5
11.7
88.5
0.1
77.5
141.8
40.1
82
655
Nick DeSimoneUTA · D
18.1
4.3
13.7
76.7
0.1
47.5
68.1
16.0
82
656
Maveric LamoureuxUTA · D20 sample
18.0
4.1
13.9
85.6
0.6
128.9
93.1
142.7
82
657
Logan MaillouxSTL · D
17.9
7.0
10.9
100.7
1.3
113.1
69.8
58.8
82
658
Nick PerbixNSH · D
17.8
4.0
13.8
80.0
0.1
49.9
93.0
21.1
82
659
Cole SchwindtFLA · C
17.8
8.8
9.0
67.0
0.2
97.0
32.2
4.7
82
660
Emil LillebergTBL · D
17.8
3.5
14.3
60.3
0.1
155.0
72.8
93.7
82
661
Marc Del GaizoNYR · D
17.8
3.7
14.2
129.9
0.3
130.4
93.2
35.9
82
662
Arttu HyryDAL · R29 sample
17.8
9.4
8.3
92.7
0.3
125.9
30.8
7.4
82
663
Johnathan KovacevicNJD · D
17.7
2.0
15.7
75.3
0.1
114.8
96.9
72.9
82
664
Josh SamanskiEDM · C29 sample
17.6
8.7
9.0
34.4
0.3
88.1
40.5
28.7
82
665
Jacob MacDonaldWSH · D
17.6
9.7
7.9
115.4
5.8
97.0
50.5
43.9
82
666
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL · R
17.6
7.0
10.6
93.6
0.1
186.2
62.1
32.6
82
667
David KampfWSH · C
17.6
6.5
11.1
79.3
0.1
85.7
39.8
20.3
82
668
Yan KuznetsovCGY · D
17.5
5.9
11.7
93.0
0.1
112.9
145.1
40.1
82
669
Noah GregorWPG · L
17.5
8.5
9.1
112.2
1.4
128.6
38.1
45.2
82
670
Will BorgenBOS · D
17.5
4.8
12.6
80.1
0.1
138.0
108.2
46.9
82
671
Nicolas HagueNSH · D
17.5
4.2
13.3
89.6
0.1
114.5
92.1
57.5
82
672
Cole SmithCHI · R
17.5
8.6
8.9
84.5
0.1
239.5
29.3
66.0
82
673
Vinni LettieriTOR · C
17.4
9.6
7.7
126.7
1.2
140.9
49.5
29.3
82
674
Zach WhitecloudCGY · D
17.3
3.3
14.1
74.7
0.1
137.1
136.0
38.0
82
675
Trent FredericEDM · C
17.3
8.6
8.7
99.3
1.1
215.6
35.1
66.8
82
676
Erik CernakTBL · D
17.3
3.5
13.8
75.8
0.1
178.5
123.3
75.3
82
677
Brendan GaunceBOS · C
17.3
6.0
11.2
93.1
0.2
140.9
57.0
34.4
82
678
Liam FoudyNYI · C
17.2
6.1
11.2
77.4
0.6
68.8
32.5
11.6
82
679
Tyler KlevenOTT · D
17.2
3.6
13.7
94.4
0.4
138.0
106.0
50.2
82
680
Hunter BrzustewiczCGY · D35 sample
17.2
5.0
12.2
82.2
2.5
59.4
55.0
12.7
82
681
Luke KuninFLA · C
17.2
8.8
8.4
93.0
1.3
179.1
68.6
68.3
82
682
Justin BarronNSH · D
17.2
4.4
12.7
72.8
0.9
80.9
98.8
28.7
82
683
Brenden DillonNJD · D
17.1
3.4
13.7
59.9
0.1
207.0
106.6
82.8
82
684
Jan JenikLAK · C22 sample
17.0
5.6
11.4
65.9
1.9
110.1
58.4
55.6
82
685
Ty DellandreaSJS · C
17.0
3.8
13.2
83.0
0.1
195.1
55.9
52.8
82
686
Samuel HonzekCGY · L23 sample
17.0
8.3
8.7
101.4
0.4
149.6
29.8
13.3
82
687
Jamie OleksiakVAN · D
16.9
4.7
12.2
81.6
0.1
111.7
134.6
40.0
82
688
Taylor WardLAK · R38 sample
16.9
7.8
9.1
90.7
1.3
86.8
20.9
15.9
82
689
Niko MikkolaFLA · D
16.7
4.7
12.0
91.5
0.3
156.1
101.3
70.1
82
690
Emil AndraeTOR · D
16.7
2.5
14.2
60.2
2.4
93.6
82.3
32.1
82
691
Wyatt KaiserCHI · D
16.7
5.8
10.9
82.2
0.1
56.3
91.5
33.7
82
692
Jeff PetryFLA · D
16.7
1.6
15.1
77.2
2.6
109.7
106.6
31.6
82
693
Zachary Aston-ReesePHI · C
16.6
5.8
10.8
84.9
0.1
204.0
54.7
31.0
82
694
Adam BeckmanCOL · L23 sample
16.5
2.8
13.8
94.6
1.6
79.6
30.5
58.5
82
695
Lucas CondottaMTL · L11 sample
16.5
12.1
4.4
79.5
1.5
119.8
39.2
7.4
82
696
Nathan BastianDAL · R
16.3
9.7
6.7
71.0
0.7
198.5
32.8
48.0
82
697
Ryan LindgrenSEA · D
16.3
3.0
13.4
64.8
0.1
78.6
129.5
55.8
82
698
Joel KivirantaDAL · L
16.3
8.4
7.9
83.5
0.1
122.2
32.2
18.6
82
699
Isac LundeströmCBJ · C
16.2
5.5
10.7
66.0
0.5
48.1
52.8
6.6
82
700
Egor ZamulaCBJ · D
16.2
2.8
13.4
53.0
2.3
30.0
105.8
15.5
82

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.