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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
601
Paul CotterVAN · L
19.7
11.4
8.2
80.3
1.2
225.1
27.5
35.4
82
602
Mark KastelicBOS · C
19.6
9.6
10.0
94.8
0.6
229.0
57.5
132.8
82
603
Michael KesselringSJS · D
19.6
4.3
15.3
123.9
1.4
84.9
76.4
97.5
82
604
Kevin StenlundUTA · C
19.6
8.0
11.6
80.9
0.1
55.7
60.4
33.9
82
605
Aatu RätyVAN · C
19.5
7.6
11.9
82.2
0.6
200.4
20.1
28.8
82
606
Matt LuffNYI · R
19.5
13.4
6.1
89.5
0.8
115.3
51.8
6.2
82
607
Dylan SambergWPG · D
19.5
2.9
16.6
105.0
0.5
73.8
140.1
26.8
82
608
Ethan BearNYI · D
19.5
5.0
14.5
103.5
0.7
60.8
96.1
33.1
82
609
Jordan GreenwayCHI · L
19.4
7.1
12.4
86.2
0.8
162.2
53.9
67.3
82
610
Drew HellesonANA · D
19.4
3.6
15.8
65.3
0.1
103.6
98.3
38.9
82
611
Casey CizikasNYI · C
19.4
9.3
10.1
89.8
0.4
170.3
63.1
34.8
82
612
Jordan HarrisBOS · D
19.4
5.0
14.4
68.5
0.4
54.1
101.2
21.2
82
613
Scott MorrowNYR · D
19.4
1.4
18.0
83.2
4.3
29.7
80.6
11.2
82
614
Joshua RoyUTA · R38 sample
19.3
11.3
8.0
99.4
0.5
68.9
52.4
18.1
82
615
Gavin BrindleyCOL · C
19.3
8.8
10.4
91.1
0.1
54.8
22.7
12.2
82
616
Tyson JostNSH · C
19.2
8.8
10.4
107.0
0.1
81.2
37.1
40.2
82
617
Connor MurphyEDM · D
19.2
5.5
13.7
85.6
0.1
123.2
163.6
66.8
82
618
Jeffrey VielTBL · L
19.2
7.0
12.2
109.7
0.1
240.6
34.8
144.0
82
619
Dryden HuntCGY · L
19.2
5.9
13.2
89.7
0.3
199.7
33.4
37.3
82
620
Ronnie AttardDET · D29 sample
19.1
4.7
14.4
106.1
1.6
136.0
89.1
39.3
82
621
Vladislav KolyachonokNJD · D
19.1
5.8
13.3
62.3
0.2
54.9
78.1
24.3
82
622
Juuso VälimäkiCAR · D
19.1
3.6
15.5
84.2
4.3
61.1
99.8
30.4
82
623
Chris TanevTOR · D
19.0
2.8
16.2
57.3
0.2
39.9
199.1
22.1
82
624
Matt KierstedMIN · D38 sample
19.0
2.6
16.4
59.2
0.7
36.7
97.7
17.4
82
625
Declan ChisholmNJD · D
19.0
3.5
15.4
76.8
2.8
38.4
80.8
16.9
82
626
Bo GroulxTOR · C
18.9
9.9
9.0
79.8
0.3
189.9
45.3
18.8
82
627
Braden SchneiderNYR · D
18.9
3.7
15.2
96.6
0.1
157.8
139.7
24.0
82
628
Kevin BahlCGY · D
18.9
3.6
15.3
69.9
0.9
127.3
109.9
54.6
82
629
Steven LorentzTOR · C
18.8
7.7
11.2
80.9
0.1
181.7
52.0
16.3
82
630
Michael McCarronMIN · C
18.8
8.7
10.1
105.3
0.1
192.5
75.5
94.3
82
631
Conor TimminsBUF · D
18.8
1.8
16.9
86.3
0.9
66.4
140.9
39.7
82
632
Mitchell ChaffeeNYI · R
18.6
11.3
7.4
77.6
3.1
189.2
33.1
24.2
82
633
Trevor van RiemsdykPIT · D
18.6
2.6
16.0
68.6
0.1
16.2
132.6
25.8
82
634
Jonathan AspirotBOS · D
18.6
3.8
14.8
64.6
1.3
118.5
114.3
54.9
82
635
Zachary L'HeureuxCOL · L
18.6
9.6
9.0
104.4
2.3
236.3
40.8
76.2
82
636
Keegan KolesarDET · R
18.6
7.3
11.3
71.1
0.1
275.1
44.4
53.4
82
637
Urho VaakanainenNYR · D
18.5
1.4
17.1
67.3
0.2
39.3
76.2
30.5
82
638
Andre LeeLAK · L26 sample
18.5
7.8
10.7
73.0
0.5
169.8
41.3
28.0
82
639
Colton DachEDM · C
18.5
6.4
12.2
79.5
2.2
295.2
38.0
67.0
82
640
Tyler MyersDAL · D
18.5
3.0
15.5
101.5
0.4
107.6
143.9
69.2
82
641
Nils LundkvistDAL · D
18.4
3.6
14.9
86.2
0.9
47.9
72.5
28.8
82
642
Anton BlidhNYR · L
18.4
2.7
15.7
79.4
0.9
171.8
19.4
27.2
82
643
Kaedan KorczakPIT · D
18.4
2.3
16.0
62.8
0.2
115.9
91.4
20.1
82
644
Radko GudasFLA · D
18.4
2.9
15.5
96.2
0.7
267.7
152.3
101.5
82
645
Colin MillerWPG · D
18.4
4.3
14.0
101.0
3.4
127.3
67.4
43.5
82
646
Tyler TuckerSTL · D
18.4
4.5
13.8
77.7
0.1
139.0
67.3
102.5
82
647
Brian DumoulinLAK · D
18.3
2.7
15.6
67.0
0.1
62.4
99.0
19.9
82
648
Jaroslav ChmelarNYR · R28 sample
18.3
11.8
6.5
69.5
0.3
153.3
47.6
32.5
82
649
Sam CarrickBUF · C
18.3
8.8
9.5
86.8
0.2
136.5
39.3
78.5
82
650
Brett KulakCOL · D
18.2
3.4
14.8
102.3
0.1
40.6
114.0
33.2
82

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.