Wed, Sep 16, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

LAK Los Angeles Kings

vsCOLColorado Avalanche

Last gameApr 26 · 4:30 PM ET

The model's read

a disagreement, not a correction

The model rates LAK higher than the standings do

In points

#20/32

what happened

By our rating

#14/32

xG-Elo, walk-forward

Gap

rank places

The rating is built from expected-goal margin, game by game, and never sees the standings. A gap means the chances a club generated and allowed point somewhere different from where its points did. Where the model disagrees most →

Record

82 games · regular season

W–L–OTL: 35 wins, 27 regulation losses, 20 overtime losses
Points: 90
Points rank: 20/32
Goal diff: −22

Strength rating

xG-Elo · walk-forward

Rating: 1505
League rank: 14/32
Games: 82

1500 is the baseline every club starts from and regresses toward between seasons, so above it is stronger than an average team and below it weaker. The rating is driven by model expected-goals margin rather than by results, which is why it can disagree with the standings — that disagreement is the reading at the top of this page.

Last 10 · results

LApr 26vsCOL1–5

LApr 23vsCOL2–4

OTLApr 21@COL1–2OT

LApr 19@COL1–2

LApr 16@CGY1–3

OTLApr 14@VAN3–4OT

WApr 13@SEA5–3

WApr 11vsEDM1–0

WApr 9vsVAN4–1

WApr 6vsNSH3–2SO

Current roster · per-game rates

29 skaters · 3 goalies

Five-season recency-weighted per-game rates · Sample = the games each rate rests on

Forwards	#	P	G	A	SOG	Sample
Artemi Panarin	10	1.13	0.41	0.71	2.90	444
Adrian Kempe	9	0.91	0.44	0.47	2.90	427
Mats Zuccarello	36	0.89	0.25	0.63	2.17	371
Kevin Fiala	22	0.79	0.37	0.43	2.84	390
Quinton Byfield	55	0.63	0.27	0.35	2.15	356
Trevor Moore	12	0.53	0.24	0.29	2.42	390
Alex Laferriere	14	0.52	0.23	0.29	2.45	255
Corey Perry	—	0.43	0.23	0.21	1.45	447
Erik Haula	56	0.43	0.18	0.26	1.68	408
Scott Laughton	21	0.36	0.17	0.19	1.63	388
Joel Armia	40	0.36	0.17	0.18	1.42	325
Cole Guttman	82	0.32	0.18	0.15	1.85	41
Alex Turcotte	15	0.26	0.07	0.19	1.06	166
Andre Lee	47	0.21	0.09	0.12	0.85	26
Jan Jenik	14	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.57	22
Taylor Ward	52	0.20	0.09	0.11	1.09	38
Jared Wright	53	0.15	0.00	0.15	1.37	27
Samuel Helenius	79	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.67	113
Kenny Connors	34	0.00	0.00	0.00	2.50	2
Lane Pederson	25	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.48	61

Defence	#	P	G	A	SOG	Sample
Angus Booth	81	1.00	1.00	0.00	1.00	1
Brandt Clarke	92	0.45	0.09	0.36	1.81	195
Drew Doughty	8	0.43	0.10	0.33	1.47	325
Erik Gustafsson	—	0.35	0.05	0.30	1.23	285
Scott Perunovich	48	0.29	0.03	0.26	0.58	115
Mikey Anderson	44	0.26	0.05	0.20	0.92	393
Joel Edmundson	6	0.26	0.04	0.21	1.21	310
Brian Dumoulin	2	0.22	0.03	0.19	0.81	410
Cody Ceci	5	0.19	0.03	0.16	0.93	478

Goalies	#	SV%	GA	SV	SA	TOI	Sample
Darcy Kuemper	35	.9016	2.57	23.5	26.0	58:05	269
Anton Forsberg	31	.9057	2.53	24.2	26.7	55:55	174
Erik Portillo	1	.9655	1.00	28.0	29.0	58:37	1

How these rates are built — club is the player's current one; the rates span five seasons

Club membership is the NHL's current one, refreshed nightly — a player traded mid-season appears under the club he is with now, while the rates beside him span five seasons wherever he played them. Recency-weighted per-game averages; Sample is the games they rest on. Skaters are ordered by a rate shrunk toward the league average in proportion to how little a player has played, so a one-game sample does not out-rank a career — the figures shown are the unshrunk ones, and for anyone with a real sample the two are the same number. Save percentage is total saves over total shots, weighted — not the average of per-game save percentages, which would count a two-shot relief appearance as heavily as a forty-shot start.

Best cap efficiency · points per $1M

2026-27 cap · 2025-26 production

Mats ZuccarelloC59 gp$1.00M1 yrUFA5454.0

Corey PerryR72 gp$1.00M1 yrUFA3737.0

Alex TurcotteC62 gp$0.85M1 yrRFA1416.5

Alex LaferriereR82 gp$4.10M2 yrsRFA4410.7

Erik HaulaL81 gp$3.60M2 yrsUFA3810.6

A player measured against the season that earned his contract looks expensive, so recent signings sit low and entry-level deals sit high — by construction. All 32 clubs.

Markets · Apr 26 · modeled projections

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