Where the model and the standings disagree most · 2025-26
The model rates the Boston Bruins 16 spots lower than the standings do
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
Win chance is the model’s projection, not a betting recommendation. Its accuracy is modest (held-out AUC 0.590, on a scale where 0.5 is a coin flip and 1.0 is perfect).
2026-27 full-season pace
Projected over each club’s full 2026-27 regular season, assuming the player plays every game. The sample is the games the rate rests on.
Injuries, lineups, transactions and rumours · newest first
Headlines from other outlets, shown as published, each linking to the full report.
Injury
NBC Sports via Yahoo Sports ·
In this story: Brock Faber, Minnesota Wild
Also reported by: USA TODAY Sports via Yahoo Sports (external site)
Transaction
NBC Sports via Yahoo Sports ·
In this story: Kirill Marchenko, Columbus Blue Jackets, Toronto Maple Leafs
Also reported by: Associated Press via Yahoo Sports (external site)
Injury
The Hockey News - Buffalo Sabres via Yahoo Sports ·
In this story: Conor Sheary, Buffalo Sabres, New York Rangers
Boston Bruins (BOS): #8 in points, #24 by xG-Elo · gaps of 7+ spots
Goals relative to each player’s position: 2025-26 beside the 2026-27 projection.
Measured against each player’s position rather than raw goals minus xG, so forwards and defencemen share one scale. Projected at the same shot volume. A gap that persists may be finishing skill or shots the model under-rates; the measurement cannot separate the two. How this is measured
