ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
701
Nick DeSimoneUTA · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.8
0.0
1.7
2.5
0.6
3
702
Patrick GilesSJS · R20 sample
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.7
0.0
3.5
1.5
0.1
3
703
Michael KesselringSJS · D
0.7
0.2
0.6
4.5
0.1
3.1
2.8
3.6
3
704
Corey SchuenemanANA · D35 sample
0.5
0.2
0.4
3.6
0.1
1.8
4.6
0.6
3
705
Justin BarronNSH · D
0.6
0.2
0.5
2.7
0.0
3.0
3.6
1.1
3
706
Brendan BrissonNYR · C27 sample
0.8
0.2
0.7
3.0
0.1
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
707
Ryan WintertonSEA · C
0.7
0.2
0.6
3.8
0.0
3.4
1.5
0.6
3
708
Zack OstapchukSJS · C
0.3
0.2
0.2
2.0
0.0
6.7
1.4
2.3
3
709
Owen BeckMTL · C28 sample
0.3
0.2
0.1
2.4
0.0
5.0
1.8
0.9
3
710
Jason PolinBUF · R13 sample
0.3
0.2
0.1
1.8
0.0
6.3
1.8
0.4
3
711
Nick JensenANA · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.6
0.0
2.4
3.8
0.7
3
712
Tomas NosekFLA · L
0.6
0.1
0.4
2.4
0.0
5.1
1.5
0.8
3
713
Lane PedersonLAK · C
0.4
0.1
0.2
1.7
0.0
7.8
1.6
1.2
3
714
Samuel GirardPIT · D
1.0
0.1
0.8
3.0
0.1
2.2
3.8
0.9
3
715
Jake BeanCGY · D
0.5
0.1
0.3
3.3
0.0
1.1
3.5
1.3
3
716
Nicolas HagueNSH · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.3
0.0
4.2
3.4
2.1
3
717
Nick PerbixNSH · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.9
0.0
1.8
3.4
0.8
3
718
Alexander RomanovNYI · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
4.2
0.0
6.7
6.6
1.1
3
719
Kyle MacLeanNYI · C
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.3
0.0
5.3
1.1
1.4
3
720
Isaak PhillipsWPG · D
0.6
0.1
0.4
3.0
0.0
4.4
2.6
1.7
3
721
Ville KoivunenPIT · R
0.8
0.1
0.6
3.1
0.4
0.5
1.3
0.8
3
722
Maveric LamoureuxUTA · D20 sample
0.7
0.1
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.7
3.4
5.2
3
723
Justin DowlingNYR · C
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.1
0.0
3.3
1.3
0.3
3
724
Nick SeelerPHI · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.4
0.0
5.0
6.5
2.1
3
725
Joel EdmundsonLAK · D
0.8
0.1
0.6
3.6
0.1
4.2
4.4
1.1
3
726
Joshua BrownEDM · D
0.5
0.1
0.3
2.7
0.0
6.4
4.9
3.7
3
727
Rasmus RistolainenPHI · D
0.9
0.1
0.8
4.3
0.1
4.6
4.4
1.4
3
728
Andrew PeekeUTA · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.5
5.4
1.1
3
729
Tanner LaczynskiVGK · C
1.0
0.1
0.9
2.8
0.2
1.4
1.4
1.2
3
730
Henri JokiharjuBOS · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.2
0.1
2.6
3.0
0.9
3
731
Michael CallahanTBL · D22 sample
0.2
0.1
0.1
1.9
0.0
1.7
3.3
0.8
3
732
Ty DellandreaSJS · C
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.0
0.0
7.1
2.0
1.9
3
733
Adam GinningVGK · D16 sample
0.2
0.1
0.1
1.7
0.0
3.5
3.0
0.3
3
734
Jonathan AspirotBOS · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.4
0.1
4.3
4.2
2.0
3
735
Jack FinleySTL · C
0.4
0.1
0.2
1.9
0.0
5.1
0.7
2.5
3
736
Kevin KorchinskiCHI · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.8
0.1
0.9
3.0
1.0
3
737
Jacob QuillanTOR · C24 sample
0.4
0.1
0.3
1.9
0.0
5.8
1.7
0.3
3
738
Zach BogosianMIN · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.7
0.0
3.8
2.9
1.7
3
739
Olli MaattaMIN · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.5
0.0
1.2
4.5
0.5
3
740
Derrick PouliotCHI · D24 sample
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.9
0.1
3.1
3.1
1.1
3
741
Ryan GravesPIT · D
0.4
0.1
0.3
3.0
0.0
3.3
4.9
1.3
3
742
Brett PesceNJD · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
4.3
0.0
1.1
5.7
1.0
3
743
Erik CernakTBL · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.0
6.5
4.5
2.8
3
744
Dennis CholowskiNYR · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.3
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.6
3
745
Troy StecherTOR · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.9
0.0
1.9
3.5
1.2
3
746
Michael PezzettaTOR · L
0.4
0.1
0.2
2.0
0.0
10.3
1.1
4.7
3
747
Juuso VälimäkiCAR · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.1
0.2
2.2
3.6
1.1
3
748
Kevin BahlCGY · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.6
0.0
4.7
4.0
2.0
3
749
Nils LundkvistDAL · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
3.1
0.0
1.8
2.6
1.1
3
750
Declan ChisholmNJD · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.8
0.1
1.4
3.0
0.6
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.