CAR Carolina Hurricanes

@VGKVegas Golden Knights

Last gameJun 14 · 8:00 PM ET

The model's read

a disagreement, not a correction

The model rates CAR higher than the standings do

In points

#2/32

what happened

By our rating

#1/32

xG-Elo, walk-forward

Gap

rank places

The rating is built from expected-goal margin, game by game, and never sees the standings. A gap means the chances a club generated and allowed point somewhere different from where its points did. Where the model disagrees most →

Record

82 games · regular season

W–L–OTL: 53 wins, 22 regulation losses, 7 overtime losses
Points: 113
Points rank: 2/32
Goal diff: +56

Strength rating

xG-Elo · walk-forward

Rating: 1573
League rank: 1/32
Games: 82

1500 is the baseline every club starts from and regresses toward between seasons, so above it is stronger than an average team and below it weaker. The rating is driven by model expected-goals margin rather than by results, which is why it can disagree with the standings — that disagreement is the reading at the top of this page.

Last 10 · results

WJun 14@VGK3–0

WJun 11vsVGK4–2

WJun 9@VGK5–3

OTLJun 6@VGK4–5OT

WJun 4vsVGK4–3OT

LJun 2vsVGK4–5

WMay 29vsMTL6–1

WMay 27@MTL4–0

WMay 25@MTL3–2OT

WMay 23vsMTL3–2OT

Current roster · per-game rates

28 skaters · 4 goalies

Five-season recency-weighted per-game rates · Sample = the games each rate rests on

Forwards	#	P	G	A	SOG	Sample
Sebastian Aho	20	0.96	0.37	0.60	2.53	464
Nikolaj Ehlers	27	0.87	0.34	0.53	2.60	372
Seth Jarvis	24	0.84	0.39	0.45	2.74	449
Andrei Svechnikov	37	0.80	0.35	0.45	2.62	411
Felix Unger Sorum	36	1.00	0.00	1.00	0.00	1
Jackson Blake	53	0.63	0.26	0.37	2.04	196
Taylor Hall	71	0.63	0.24	0.38	1.97	357
Justin Robidas	46	0.67	0.17	0.50	1.17	4
Logan Stankoven	22	0.56	0.28	0.28	2.24	236
Jordan Staal	11	0.46	0.23	0.23	1.52	463
Jordan Martinook	48	0.39	0.16	0.23	1.56	445
Jesperi Kotkaniemi	82	0.33	0.11	0.22	1.33	401
Eric Robinson	50	0.32	0.16	0.16	1.32	369
Mark Jankowski	77	0.30	0.15	0.15	0.98	261
Bradly Nadeau	29	0.26	0.23	0.04	1.26	15
William Carrier	28	0.24	0.10	0.15	1.21	330
Juha Jaaska	54	0.22	0.00	0.22	0.61	18
Nicolas Deslauriers	44	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.75	289

Defence	#	P	G	A	SOG	Sample
Shayne Gostisbehere	4	0.73	0.17	0.56	1.84	412
K'Andre Miller	19	0.44	0.09	0.35	1.46	449
Alexander Nikishin	21	0.34	0.11	0.23	1.36	102
Jaccob Slavin	74	0.31	0.06	0.26	1.59	429
Sean Walker	26	0.29	0.08	0.21	1.92	364
Joel Nystrom	64	0.26	0.03	0.24	1.13	38
Jalen Chatfield	5	0.26	0.06	0.20	1.38	371
Juuso Välimäki	4	0.23	0.04	0.19	1.02	198
Ronan Seeley	91	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1
Charles Alexis Legault	62	0.17	0.08	0.08	1.00	12

Goalies	#	SV%	GA	SV	SA	TOI	Sample
Zach Sawchenko	36	.9007	2.14	19.4	21.6	38:25	7
Cayden Primeau	55	.8706	3.48	23.4	26.9	53:37	52
Pyotr Kochetkov	52	.8997	2.42	21.6	24.0	57:14	135
Brandon Bussi	32	.8979	2.40	20.9	23.2	60:09	43

How these rates are built — club is the player's current one; the rates span five seasons

Club membership is the NHL's current one, refreshed nightly — a player traded mid-season appears under the club he is with now, while the rates beside him span five seasons wherever he played them. Recency-weighted per-game averages; Sample is the games they rest on. Skaters are ordered by a rate shrunk toward the league average in proportion to how little a player has played, so a one-game sample does not out-rank a career — the figures shown are the unshrunk ones, and for anyone with a real sample the two are the same number. Save percentage is total saves over total shots, weighted — not the average of per-game save percentages, which would count a two-shot relief appearance as heavily as a forty-shot start.

Best cap efficiency · points per $1M

2026-27 cap · 2025-26 production

Shayne GostisbehereD55 gp$3.20M1 yrUFA5015.6

Taylor HallL80 gp$3.17M2 yrsUFA4815.2

Jordan StaalC75 gp$2.98M1 yrUFA3612.1

Mark JankowskiL68 gp$1.85M2 yrsUFA2111.4

Eric RobinsonL67 gp$1.70M3 yrsUFA1810.6

A player measured against the season that earned his contract looks expensive, so recent signings sit low and entry-level deals sit high — by construction. All 32 clubs.

Markets · Jun 14 · modeled projections

0 BLK · sorted by projection

No BLK lines were captured for this game.