ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by points.

Sort by

Over

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
551
Joel EdmundsonLAK · D
0.8
0.1
0.6
3.6
0.1
4.2
4.4
1.1
3
552
Jalen ChatfieldCAR · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.2
0.0
2.2
2.9
1.4
3
553
Mario FerraroWPG · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.5
0.0
5.2
5.6
1.5
3
554
Mikey AndersonLAK · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
2.8
0.0
5.0
5.0
0.9
3
555
Shakir MukhamadullinEDM · D
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.0
0.1
2.3
4.1
1.2
3
556
Nate DanielsonDET · C28 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.4
0.3
0.9
1.0
0.5
3
557
Nick LeddySJS · D
0.8
0.1
0.6
2.2
0.0
1.2
3.6
0.6
3
558
Adam PelechNYI · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
4.6
0.0
3.0
4.7
1.7
3
559
Yakov TreninMIN · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.6
0.0
12.3
1.4
1.6
3
560
Nico SturmMIN · C
0.8
0.3
0.4
2.9
0.0
4.2
1.4
0.8
3
561
Uvis BalinskisFLA · D
0.8
0.2
0.5
3.6
0.2
3.7
2.3
1.4
3
562
Ben HuttonVGK · D
0.8
0.3
0.5
4.0
0.0
1.6
3.3
1.1
3
563
Nathan WalkerSTL · L
0.8
0.3
0.4
2.8
0.0
10.6
2.4
2.2
3
564
Brett LeasonSJS · R
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.5
0.1
3.2
2.0
0.8
3
565
Matthew RobertsonNYR · D
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.3
0.0
4.4
3.3
1.6
3
566
Zac JonesUTA · D
0.8
0.1
0.6
3.5
0.1
1.9
2.8
1.3
3
567
Ilya SolovyovPIT · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.3
0.0
3.9
3.4
1.4
3
568
Ville KoivunenPIT · R
0.8
0.1
0.6
3.1
0.4
0.5
1.3
0.8
3
569
Isak RosenWPG · R
0.8
0.4
0.3
2.9
0.2
1.4
1.5
0.0
3
570
Luca Del Bel BelluzCBJ · C30 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
2.9
0.1
0.8
2.2
0.6
3
571
Brad LambertWPG · C31 sample
0.8
0.3
0.4
3.1
0.1
2.7
0.9
0.8
3
572
Jonathan LekkerimäkiVAN · R37 sample
0.8
0.4
0.3
3.1
0.1
2.2
1.0
0.2
3
573
Lenni HameenahoNJD · R33 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.3
0.0
1.9
1.5
1.3
3
574
Daniil ButUTA · L29 sample
0.8
0.3
0.4
4.5
0.3
1.7
1.9
0.8
3
575
William CarrierCAR · L
0.7
0.3
0.5
3.6
0.0
9.1
0.9
0.9
3
576
Carl GrundstromPHI · R
0.7
0.4
0.3
4.3
0.0
8.7
1.2
1.2
3
577
Mason ShawMIN · C
0.7
0.3
0.5
4.2
0.0
4.4
1.3
4.2
3
578
Martin KautSJS · R
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.6
0.1
2.3
0.8
0.5
3
579
Alexander RomanovNYI · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
4.2
0.0
6.7
6.6
1.1
3
580
Cole KoepkeWPG · L
0.7
0.4
0.4
3.7
0.0
7.9
0.9
0.7
3
581
Max CrozierTBL · D
0.7
0.1
0.7
4.0
0.0
3.5
2.6
3.0
3
582
Ryan WintertonSEA · C
0.7
0.2
0.6
3.8
0.0
3.4
1.5
0.6
3
583
Theo LindsteinSTL · D17 sample
0.7
0.4
0.4
3.6
0.0
1.5
2.5
1.1
3
584
Juha JaaskaCAR · L18 sample
0.7
0.1
0.7
2.1
0.0
3.4
0.7
1.5
3
585
Maxim TsyplakovCGY · R
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.4
0.1
5.2
1.0
0.9
3
586
Ian ColeCHI · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.4
0.0
3.4
6.1
2.2
3
587
Calle JarnkrokTOR · C
0.7
0.4
0.4
3.0
0.1
2.3
0.8
0.5
3
588
Derrick PouliotCHI · D24 sample
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.9
0.1
3.1
3.1
1.1
3
589
Brett PesceNJD · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
4.3
0.0
1.1
5.7
1.0
3
590
Conor GeekieTBL · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
2.9
0.1
6.0
1.4
1.3
3
591
Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH · L
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.1
5.0
1.3
0.4
3
592
Ben MeyersSEA · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.2
0.0
3.7
0.8
0.9
3
593
Adam KlapkaCGY · R
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.2
0.1
11.0
2.0
4.1
3
594
Nikita GrebenkinPHI · R
0.7
0.2
0.5
1.7
0.0
4.7
0.9
2.4
3
595
Jake MiddletonCGY · D
0.7
0.2
0.6
3.0
0.0
4.2
5.5
2.5
3
596
Kevin StenlundUTA · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.0
2.0
2.2
1.2
3
597
Rodrigo AbolsPHI · C
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.2
0.0
3.5
1.7
1.4
3
598
Jesper BoqvistNJD · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
2.9
0.0
6.0
1.2
0.5
3
599
Jack RathboneBUF · D20 sample
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.8
0.1
2.5
2.2
0.9
3
600
Mark KastelicBOS · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.5
0.0
8.4
2.1
4.9
3

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.