ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
601
Dakota MermisTOR · D
0.5
0.2
0.2
2.3
0.0
2.6
3.1
2.4
3
602
Dryden HuntCGY · L
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.3
0.0
7.3
1.2
1.4
3
603
Mathieu JosephEDM · R
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.0
6.1
2.0
1.3
3
604
Alexandre CarrierMTL · D
0.9
0.2
0.7
2.6
0.0
2.3
6.5
1.8
3
605
Libor HajekSJS · D33 sample
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.9
0.1
2.8
3.6
1.1
3
606
Jonah GadjovichFLA · L
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.6
0.0
8.7
1.3
4.8
3
607
Sampo RantaCOL · L16 sample
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.5
0.1
3.8
2.0
1.4
3
608
Liam FoudyNYI · C
0.6
0.2
0.4
2.8
0.0
2.5
1.2
0.4
3
609
Samuel BolducOTT · D
0.5
0.2
0.3
3.0
0.1
3.8
3.1
0.7
3
610
John BeecherFLA · C
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.4
0.0
3.3
2.6
1.7
3
611
Jordan SpenceOTT · D
1.1
0.2
0.9
3.9
0.1
2.7
2.7
0.8
3
612
Lian BichselDAL · D
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.0
0.0
9.5
2.2
2.7
3
613
Isaac HowardEDM · L29 sample
0.6
0.2
0.3
3.8
0.0
0.8
0.6
1.3
3
614
Nate DanielsonDET · C28 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.4
0.3
0.9
1.0
0.5
3
615
Tom WillanderVAN · D
0.9
0.2
0.7
2.6
0.1
1.5
3.3
1.2
3
616
Ryan McDonaghTBL · D
1.2
0.2
0.9
2.9
0.0
1.7
5.4
0.8
3
617
Jonas BrodinMIN · D
1.0
0.2
0.8
4.1
0.0
1.1
6.3
0.9
3
618
Esa LindellDAL · D
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.5
0.1
1.8
6.4
0.7
3
619
Brandon TanevUTA · L
0.5
0.2
0.3
3.0
0.0
7.8
2.7
2.0
3
620
Dylan GambrellMIN · C
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.6
0.0
3.7
2.1
1.4
3
621
Zack MacEwenTOR · C
0.4
0.2
0.2
3.3
0.0
6.6
1.1
3.6
3
622
Zachary Aston-ReesePHI · C
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.1
0.0
7.5
2.0
1.1
3
623
Mario FerraroWPG · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.5
0.0
5.2
5.6
1.5
3
624
Carson MeyerBUF · R
0.5
0.2
0.3
3.0
0.0
6.5
0.9
0.9
3
625
Jan JenikLAK · C22 sample
0.6
0.2
0.4
2.4
0.1
4.0
2.1
2.0
3
626
David GustafssonPIT · C
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.5
0.0
2.0
1.6
0.4
3
627
Cam YorkPHI · D
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.7
0.2
1.9
5.9
1.2
3
628
Vladislav KolyachonokNJD · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.3
0.0
2.0
2.9
0.9
3
629
Yan KuznetsovCGY · D
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.4
0.0
4.1
5.3
1.5
3
630
Wyatt KaiserCHI · D
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.0
0.0
2.1
3.4
1.2
3
631
Brennan OthmannCGY · L
0.4
0.2
0.2
2.6
0.1
6.5
1.2
1.2
3
632
Sam RinzelCHI · D
0.9
0.2
0.6
4.8
0.1
2.8
3.3
2.2
3
633
Nikita GrebenkinPHI · R
0.7
0.2
0.5
1.7
0.0
4.7
0.9
2.4
3
634
Zach MetsaBUF · D
0.5
0.2
0.3
1.7
0.1
0.4
2.1
0.6
3
635
Tyler PitlickMIN · C
0.3
0.2
0.1
2.6
0.0
6.8
1.7
1.6
3
636
Josh MansonCOL · D
1.1
0.2
0.9
4.8
0.0
7.2
3.8
3.1
3
637
Connor MurphyEDM · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.5
6.0
2.5
3
638
Justin KirklandMIN · C
0.6
0.2
0.4
1.6
0.0
5.0
1.8
0.7
3
639
Kyle CapobiancoDAL · D
0.5
0.2
0.3
1.8
0.0
1.4
2.4
1.0
3
640
Christian WolaninCOL · D25 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.3
0.2
1.7
2.5
0.9
3
641
Ryan LombergCBJ · L
0.5
0.2
0.3
3.0
0.0
6.1
0.8
2.9
3
642
James HamblinANA · L
0.4
0.2
0.2
2.3
0.0
1.5
1.9
0.2
3
643
Martin FehérváryWSH · D
0.9
0.2
0.7
2.9
0.0
5.4
6.0
1.3
3
644
Isac LundeströmCBJ · C
0.6
0.2
0.4
2.4
0.0
1.8
1.9
0.2
3
645
Rasmus KupariWPG · C
0.4
0.2
0.2
2.7
0.0
3.7
1.4
0.7
3
646
Martin PospisilCGY · C
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.0
0.1
11.2
1.0
3.3
3
647
Ian MooreANA · D
0.5
0.2
0.3
3.1
0.0
2.5
3.3
1.0
3
648
Joakim KemellNSH · R18 sample
0.6
0.2
0.4
2.9
0.0
4.7
1.7
0.1
3
649
Brian HalonenBOS · L19 sample
0.4
0.2
0.2
1.7
0.0
5.3
0.6
1.6
3
650
Hunter McKownMTL · C12 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.9
0.1
3.3
1.7
1.8
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.